Covid Cases Double to Triple in a Month

[canyonwalker]

Tier Tuesday was two days ago, so today is... non-Tier Thursday? There's a second thing I want to note about Coronavirus statistics this week that I didn't include in Tuesday's post focused on passing the 1,000,000 death mark. It's that even as we're passing that grim milestone in the US, our new case rates are on the climb again.

Oh, I've written about rising new-case rates for several weeks now. The rises on a week to week basis seem small: 24%, 26%, 21.5%, etc. Those are incremental changes, right? Wrong. Because when you stack them up on top of each other they become big changes. Just three weeks of 25% increases doubles the number. Five weeks triples it. Indeed, we're seeing case rates today that are double to triple what they were not too long ago.

Per figures at The New York Times Coronavirus in the U.S. the 7-day average new case rate in the US was 84,329. A month earlier, on April 11, it was 32,220. The latest rate is 2.6x just a month ago.

Comments

[some_other_dave]

Waitaminnit.... Is that metric saying that 84K out of every 100K people have new cases of COVID? That sounds *very* wrong. Like I am completely misunderstanding the metric type of wrong.

Is that what it means??

[canyonwalker]

Yikes, that was a editing error. I cut-and-pasted wrong when I removed a sentence about per-100k rates. The figures stated are overall US rates. I've edited the blog entry to reflect that.