canyonwalker: I see dumb people (i see dumb people)
In ep. 6.02 of Better Call Saul we see the Kettlemans, Craig and Betsy, again. They were part of a subplot in season 1 of the series. Craig was the (fictitious) treasurer of Bernalillo County, NM, who embezzled $1.6 million from his own office. Betsy is his domineering and, frankly, delusional wife who kept denying they had the money even as she literally held a duffel bag with $1.6 million cash in her hands, and thought they could somehow avoid jail time without returning the money.

Kim was their lawyer for a while and arranged a plea deal for Craig: 16 months in prison if he returned the money. He faced a sentence of up to 30 years if he went to trial, and there was plenty of evidence to convict him, as he wasn't particularly good at hiding his tracks. He wrote, and cashed, numerous checks to himself! Betsy torpedoed the deal because she wanted to keep the money. Jimmy did a bad thing for noble purposes. He stole their stolen money to give it back to the county, forcing them to accept the deal.

The Kettlemans come back into the story in ep. 6.02 through Kim and Jimmy's con to destroy Howard Hamlin.

Jimmy uses Betsy and Craig Kettleman in a con (Better Call Saul ep. 6.02)

Jimmy visits their new place of business— they run a small-time tax preparation service out of a trailer on the outskirts of town—and tells them they could get Craig's conviction overturned by suing Howard Hamlin, their lawyer of record, for ineffective counsel as he was using cocaine at the time. (The notion that Howard is a coke addict is the core of their con to destroy his reputation.)

Curiously, while Craig is pleasant toward Jimmy, even congratulating him on his recent marriage, Betsy is nothing but bitter. She blames Jimmy for Craig's conviction. Never mind that Craig actually stole the money and almost certainly did so at her behest. Never mind that she fought against effect lawyering that would have gotten Craig a much lighter prison sentence than he deserved. To her it's everyone's fault but their own. "Our kids have to go to public school now because of you," she hisses at Jimmy. And that's where I found myself rooting for Jimmy in this stage of the con.

You see, the con's a con, and the Kettlemans are patsies. Jimmy asks them to sign him up as their attorney but doesn't actually want them to hire him. He wants them to hire anyone but him. He wants them to go shopping for lawyers all around Albuquerque, saying, "We think our former lawyer, Howard Hamlin, was on cocaine when he represented us."

Interestingly while Betsy is completely delusional about responsibility for the money her husband stole and she tried to conceal, she figures out Jimmy's con. She doesn't figure it out right away, though. She marches in to various lawyers' offices— we see her being a delusional jerk with Cliff Main, head of white-shoe law firm Davis & Main— and makes her allegations against Howard. Only after being laughed out of several offices in a row does she realize she's been played for a chump.

Jimmy using the Kettlemans to spread false innuendo had the potential backfire. Betsy, once realizing she's been played, could go back to all the lawyers she visited and say Jimmy put her up to it. Howard could sue Jimmy for slander. But Jimmy— and Kim, who's really the architect of this con— thought of that. They were prepared to shut down the Kettlemans' shot at revenge.

Jimmy goes to visit the Kettlemans' office again. Betsy confronts him with having figured out his con and threatens to turn him in. Jimmy offers a small wad of cash to buy her silence. Betsy is righteously indignant at the bribery attempt and refuses the cash. Then Kim drops the boom.

Kim figured out, perhaps as a lucky guess by knowing Betsy Kettleman is a narcissist crook, that their little tax prep business is a sham. She calls a contact at the IRS, in front of Betsy and Craig, and threatens to turn them in for defrauding customers with fake tax returns. Kim alleges that they file real paperwork with the IRS while giving fake paperwork to the taxpayer, pocketing the difference in the returns. Kim's lucky guess seems to have hit a bullseye, as Betsy hangs up her phone call and agrees to keep mum about the con.

And just to be nice, Jimmy gives them the bribe anyway. Maybe he feels bad for Craig, having a life sentence with Betsy.
canyonwalker: coronavirus (coronavirus)
Today' the fifth anniversary of the Coronavirus pandemic. Five years ago today, on 11 March 2020, the World Health Organization (WHO) declared Coronavirus a global pandemic. As I wrote in my blog that day, classifying it a pandemic was debatable and political. But I meant those terms positively. It was debatable because the definition of what's a pandemic involves subjective terms; and political because determining it was a pandemic would open up more political solutions. Governments that might not act in the face of a regional health concern, something happening "over there" and "to some people", could be prodded to act against what international health experts deemed a global problem potentially affecting everyone.

A common question I've seen posed in a lot of writing about this 5th anniversary is, "What's changed and what hasn't since then?" To answer that question it's important to be able to go back to that point in time and understand what was happening then. I fortunately have my own record of it: my blog. Take a look at my blog's table of contents page from March 2020 to see the things I was writing about in real time then.

Unfortunately this is how a lot of people wound up wearing masks during the Covid-19 pandemic (Mar 2025)One thing I was struck by in revisiting my contemporaneous writing was how Covid denialism was there pretty much from the beginning. Denials started started with China, of course. China's dictatorship covered up the seriousness of the problem to protect their reputation and keep their own populace in line. But very quickly the US political right, led by President Trump, started pounding Covid as a hoax ginned up by domestic political opponents to make him look bad in a reelection year and gain dictatorial control over the US. Trump had already established a daily cadence of calling it a hoax even before the WHO deemed it a global pandemic. And now, 5 years later, President Trump elected for a nonconsecutive second term has pulled the US out of the WHO.

It's sad to be reminded of just how quickly the situation with Coronavirus turned from political in the good sense— able to spur governments into action— into political in the bad sense, falling prey to partisan differences and demagoguery. It's still with us today. Covid denialism has become a tenet of the political right. And it's actually spread. Denialism has become a political way of life. The MAGA movement churns out "alternative facts" on pretty much every issue of the day. Undocumented immigrants are causing a crime wave, rooting out fraud in government spending has saved billions of dollars in just a few weeks, vaccines are worse than the diseases they supposedly prevent, tariffs lower prices, and the stock market isn't crashing because of the chaos coming from the White House. Don't believe your lying eyes when they tell you otherwise.

canyonwalker: Better Call Saul starring Bob Odenkirk (better call saul)
Season 2 of Better Call Saul begins right where season 1 left off, with Jimmy declining an offer with high-end law firm Davis & Main because he found being a con artist so much fun. In fact episode 2.01 even replays the scene from episode 1.10 where Jimmy has second thoughts outside the courthouse and decides to bail. This version of the scene is modified, though, to show that Jimmy goes inside to meet the Davis & Main partners and decline their offer, rather than just ghost them like the version in 1.10 implied.

During the revised scene, Jimmy also pulls attorney friend Kim aside to ask her if "us"— his clumsy onscreen way of implying that he wants something more from their so-far platonic friendship— depends on him taking the job. Kim is confused at first then says no, they're separate issues. Jimmy confidently declines the job offer and leaves, stopping to chat with parking attendant hit-man Mike on the way out about "What stopped us from taking that $1.6 million?"

We next see Jimmy at a resort hotel in the area, relaxing on a pool float while enjoying food and drink. Kim accosts him and demands to know why he's throwing away a sterling opportunity for his law career. I'll skip the explanation and cut to the chase; Jimmy agrees to meet Kim in the bar to talk about it, and their (mis)adventure goes from there.

In the resort bar, Jimmy invites Kim to "follow my lead" as he approaches a fellow patron who's conducted an obnoxiously loud mobile phone call about his stock trading advice. Jimmy is onto another con. He poses as a man who's just inherited a sizable sum of money and has limited understanding of how to invest it. He deftly draws in the broker— the "mark" in con artist terminology— getting him first to offer a tiny bit of advice, then more advice, then invite them for a sit-down to discuss them signing him up as their financial broker. The con isn't to actually hire him as a broker, though. It's to scam free drinks off him at the bar.

Jimmy asks the mark if he likes Zafiro Añejo tequila. Jimmy had seen it on the menu before coming up with this con and noted it was $50. The waiter assured him it was worth it. (BTW, Zafiro Añejo is a fictitious brand of tequila. It's a bit of a Breaking Bad Easter egg as it featured as the instrument of revenge in episode 4.10 where Gus Fring poisons the entire leadership of a drug cartel.)

Working the name Zafiro Añejo into his con, Jimmy gets the mark to order a round for the table without looking at the price. Then another round. And another. Pretty soon Jimmy, Kim, and the mark have consumed nearly the entire bottle. Their bar tab is likely north of $1,000— in 2002 prices. Jimmy and Kim sign the broker's papers (with their fake names) and scoot before he sees the bill they've stuck him with.

Jimmy and Kim, both drunk, hook up that night back at Kim's place. In the morning neither seems to have any regrets that their friendship has turned romantic. Kim does warn Jimmy that "I can't continue like this"— but what she means by that is that she, a lawyer, a member of the state bar, cannot be known to associate with a con artist. Jimmy decides that he's has hid last hurrah and tells Davis & Main that he'll accept their job offer.

One wonders, now, how long before James M. McGill, Esq. slips back to being "Slippin' Jimmy" again.

canyonwalker: I'm holding a 3-foot-tall giant cheese grater - Let's make America grate again! (politics)
I saw an interesting essay in my newsfeed yesterday, Primary Every Democrat. Written by former national political reporter Meredith Shiner and published in The New Republic, it distills my frustration about our most senior/most powerful elected Democratic party politicians: they so completely fail to understand the political and media landscape of 2025— or 2015, for that matter— that they're unable to offer any meaningful check against the Constitutional crisis President Trump has created in just his first two weeks in office as he and his cronies engage in rampant illegal behavior burning down government agencies.

The threat of primarying a politician, verb-ing the institution primary elections, is no stranger to Republicans. Donald Trump and the MAGA movement have been primarying mainstream GOPers for years, pushing them to the extreme right or replacing them with extremists in cases where candidates tried to hold on to their scruples of recognizing factual reality and the rule of law. Even now the threat of being primaried keeps the congressional Republicans in line. Trump controls most of the GOP fundraising; and his henchman Elon Musk spent an estimated $250 million of his own money in just the final months of the last election cycle to help elect him. What's a quarter of a billion dollars to the literal World's Richest Man?

Now we Democrats need to do it, too. Primarying, that is. Republicans have shown us they treat modern politics as a knife fight. We Dems have too many leaders who are still playing Pat-a-cake. We need to push out of the way every complacent fossil who still politics like it's 1992. They're failing to represent us anymore.

canyonwalker: Cthulhu voted - touch screen! (i voted)
In a move that should have surprised absolutely no one, independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspended his campaign yesterday and announced his support for Donald Trump. Well, okay, the exact timing of Kennedy ending his failing campaign— he was down to about 5% support in polling averages— was anybody's guess. But the fact he aligns with Trump should be no surprise to anybody.

Kennedy rose to national prominence as an anti-vaccine skeptic and crusader. In 2007 he founded a fringe nonprofit that has gone on to become the most well funded anti-fax organization in the US. He promoted health conspiracies during the Covid pandemic, argued that the government should force medical journals to publish provably flawed research, and wanted Anthony Fauci to be prosecuted. Oh, and recently campaigned on dismantling the HHS. He called the NIH, CDC, and FDA "corrupt" and called for replacing their leadership with "like-minded"— read: antivaxx, anti-government crackpot— people.

This is just one that Kennedy has championed, but it's a big one and it's clearly Trump/extreme right aligned. Still, Kennedy campaigned for the Democratic nomination in 2023 before dropping out and seeking the Libertarian party nomination, then running as an independent. Along the way he's done a lot of his campaigning through extreme right wing media.

Kennedy does have some credibility as a Democratic candidate. Frankly, though, his biggest credential is his name. He's the son of former Attorney General Robert F. Kennedy and the nephew of President John F. Kennedy and Senator Edward "Ted" Kennedy.

Earlier this year it was widely reported repeated in the news that Kennedy's independent campaign was a big threat to Joe Biden, as he would likely siphon off more Biden voters than Trump voters. This argument was published in right-wing echo chamber media such as Fox News and the National Review. The craven mainstream media credulously repeated these claims, attempting no factual counterpoint— this is why I replaced "reported" with "repeated" above— not even scratching the surface of the claims to show audiences how untrue what they were repeating was.

Now we learn that Kennedy, in a Trump-like move, apparently hit up both campaigns (Harris and Trump) offering his endorsement in exchange for the promise of a cabinet level position. The Harris campaign rejected his overtures through intermediaries, while sources speaking on condition of anonymity say Eric Trump has been brokering conversations with him for weeks.

Kennedy's latest Trump-like move came in his public comments on his endorsement,. He went long on complaining about "attacks on democracy" while endorsing Trump, who's spent 4 years promoting conspiracy theories about the 2020 election being stolen. This is the mindset of the guy they thought would take votes from Democrats?

Trump, who previously called Kennedy "one of the most Liberal Lunatics ever to run for office" and "the dumbest member" of the Kennedy family, now calls him "a brilliant guy", "very smart", and indicates he may offer him a cabinet role in his administration.
canyonwalker: Cthulhu voted - touch screen! (i voted)
After the attempted assassination of former president Donald Trump on Saturday almost everyone wanted to know, "Whodunnit?" It wasn't just to ensure that the perpetrator(s) were identified and further risks could be countered but to understand what inspired the attack. Satirist Jon Stewart described it aptly in a monologue this week as "reverse demographics". We all want to know who the attacker was to make sure he wasn't one of us. As I described in my blog yesterday on alleged shooter Crooks, we on the political left worried that if he seemed to be aligned to the political left the right would seize on any such relationship to weaponize the false narrative they've been telling for years that the political left is extreme and uses violence to achieve its goals (when, in fact, virtually all acts of political violence in the US in recent years have been perpetrated by those aligned with the right).

The right didn't get the bogeyman they might have wanted in Crooks. His motivations remain unclear, and most of what little evidence does exist shows him lining up on the right of the political spectrum, not the left. So the right couldn't cite him as proof the left is out to get them. Instead they used the attempt on Trump's life to call for everyone, on both sides of the political spectrum, to tone down the divisiveness. That's a laudable move... except the Republicans didn't really mean it.

1) First, what the Republicans quickly showed they meant by "End divisiveness" was stop telling people how bad we are. They faulted Biden for saying in a speech last week that Trump is an "Enemy of democracy". Nevermind that Trump has proclaimed numerous times that he "Would be a dictator on Day 1" if elected president or that he has, for at least the past 8 years, characterized the mainstream press as an "Enemy of the people" for factual reporting about him he doesn't like. Or that Trump orchestrated a massive fraud to attempt to overturn the 2020 presidential election and fomented an violent mob attack against the Capitol.  ...An attack which, BTW, virtually every current sitting GOP member of Congress dishonestly characterizes legitimate political protest and denies was violent.

2) Second, Republican leaders forgot within 24 hours that they'd been calling for an end to divisiveness as they returned to their usual rhetoric at the Republican National Convention that Democrats are trying to destroy America and must be stopped.


canyonwalker: Sullivan, a male golden eagle at UC Davis Raptor Center (Golden Eagle)
A jury in Manhattan surprisingly returned a verdict late this afternoon in the case against Donald Trump for falsifying business records. Prosecutors charged that the former president paid hush money to porn actress Story Daniels to cover up an alleged affair, then lied about those payments in his business records to cover up the coverup. After just 2 days of deliberation the jury found Trump guilty on all 34 felony counts.

I've been following news of trial daily the past few weeks, though not blogging about it because— like I've written a few times before— I'd rather this blog not be consumed by politics. I've got to say, as a person reading the news daily, I'm surprised the jury convicted.

Why is it a surprise? Because, quite to the contrary of what Trump and his propaganda allies in the right-wing media and Congress have claimed without fact the judge said in the courtroom, a guilty verdict requires a unanimous decision by the jury. All 12 member must vote to convict. All it takes is one juror finding reasonable doubt; their vote to acquit prevents a guilty verdict.

Was there reasonable doubt? In my opinion from what I saw of the evidence, no. But I am not representative of the mindset of every person in this country. Some 40% of the electorate believe the lies repeated every morning, noon, and night by Trump and his allies— that the trial is rigged, the judge is corrupt, the judge made numerous outright violations of the law, all the prosecution's witnesses were lying, and it was all orchestrated by President Biden to knock Trump out of the 2024 presidential race.

All it would've taken was one out of 12 people on the jury to be a hardliner among that 40% and claim reasonable doubt, and then we'd have a hung jury and a mistrial. That's what I expected: a hung jury. Instead we got an unanimous vote to convict... and on all 34 counts... and quicker than just about anybody expected.

Do these guilty verdicts change the 2024 presidential campaign? Indications so far are "Not really." Trump being convicted does not make him ineligible to run, or to be elected, or to serve as president. He could even run from prison, if he's sentenced to prison. That's been done before by other presidential candidates! And Trump very well could still win in November. Most of the people who were going to vote for him already believed the trial was an utter sham and a miscarriage of justice. Him being convicted only proves what they already believed, that President Biden is the corrupt one. Plus, there's the right of appeal. Anything could happen on appeal, from the case being overturned on a technicality to the far-right-wingers on the Supreme Court making up some outrageous new legal theory setting aside the conviction.


canyonwalker: Cthulhu voted - touch screen! (i voted)
One of the cool things about vote-by-mail in California is that I can track the progress of my ballot through the counting system. This isn't unique to California; at least a few other states that do widespread vote-by-mail have it, but it's different in states that have been taken over by the vote-by-mail-is-a-fraud liars and the fools and conspiracy nutjobs who believe them.

I Voted!There's good news and bad news about this system. One of the bits of good news is that it exists, Yay, traceability. Ironically, that's one of thing things the vote-by-mail-is-a-fraud con artists bloviate about being so important to a "secure" system. Meanwhile their preferred system often don't have it.

One of the bits of bad news is/was that for several days I didn't know if my ballot was going to be counted. 😱

See, that's one of the problems with traceability. Instead of simply having trust when you put your ballot in the lock box that it's going to be counted, you can verify that is has been counted— or hasn't. And for 4 days after I voted on Super Tuesday, mine wasn't. The website provided by the County Registrar of Voters indicated it hadn't even been received. 😰

Part of being an informed voter in the modern era, though, is understanding the limits of the system. Counting the votes is no longer a thing that happens overnight. Once upon a time results were ready by the print deadline for the next morning's paper— or even for TV broadcast on the 11pm news the night of. This is neither that time nor that system. Counting the votes nowadays— counting all the votes— takes days. I remained patient.

BTW, people who remember the days when results were published quickly and were paying attention also remember that the quick results came with a disclaimer. Absentee ballots were not yet counted. When mail-in ballots were, like, 1% of the total, officials could call most races without bothering to count them. Let me repeat that: in "the good ol' days" they did NOT count ALL the votes. And yet that's what the vote-by-mail-is-a-fraud liars and conspiracy nuts want to go back to because it's "secure". 🙄

This little story ends on a positive note. As of this morning (Sunday), I have confirmation that my vote was received and counted. Yes, the election workers were working through the weekend— and publishing updates through the weekend. Yay, hard-working men and women in our county elections offices!

canyonwalker: Sullivan, a male golden eagle at UC Davis Raptor Center (Golden Eagle)
It's time for me to comment on US Senator Bob Menendez, a Democrat from New Jersey. Actually it's well past time. I've been meaning to do it for months but haven't gotten around to it. The situation with Sen. Menendez is that he's facing federal charges for conspiring to act as an agent for foreign governments, specifically Egypt and Qatar. Authorities allege that he and his wife accepted hundreds of thousands of dollars in bribes in exchange for official acts taken to benefit the countries.

Part of the reason I say it's past time for me to write about this is that in the past 12 months I've written numerous times about US Representative George Santos (R-NY). Recall he's the clown who lied up and down about his qualifications for political office, spent months telling even wilder lies when confronted about the first set of lies, also faced federal charges for what he did, and after surviving a few failed expulsion votes earlier in the year was finally expelled from Congress in December.

In the time that I posted numerous times about Santos and called for his resignation and/or expulsion, I've posted nothing about Menendez. Yet aren't Menendez's alleged crimes way more serious than Santos's? Where's my outrage on Menendez? Why haven't I also called for Menendez to step down?

For one, as I've noted before, this isn't a politics blog. Although politics is a thing I pay attention to daily, I write about it when the mood strikes me and I have time. So the fact I've written about one thing and not the other isn't an indication one is more important than the other.

Two, the availability of facts is not comparable. Allegations against George Santos began with investigative journalism. Ample facts about him were established in the public domain months before criminal charges were filed and almost a year before the successful expulsion vote against him. During that time any reasonable person could look at the publicly available evidence and determine that the guy was totally full of shit. Moreover, Santos acknowledged many of these facts publicly— while at the same time adding more obvious lies to the public record.

With Menendez there are lurid allegations from authorities, but the facts behind those allegations are not public, they are secret. The facts won't become public until at least the start of a criminal trial a few months from now. Menendez has denied all the allegations. It's also worth pointing out that when authorities made similar charges against Menendez years ago, he was acquitted.

I don't minimize the severity of what Menendez is alleged to have done. If he did it, he should resign. If or when facts emerge to support the charges, he should be expelled if he hasn't already resigned. But right now we don't have those facts.

BTW, if this sounds like "Innocent until proven guilty," it is. Sort of. I am not holding as the standard that a politician must be proven guilty in a court of law before calling for their removal. In Santos's situation there were ample facts in the public record for a reasonable person to make determination, based on facts, that he was unsuitable for continuing in public office. With Menendez whatever facts exist are largely not in the public record so we'll probably have to wait for the criminal trial to run its course before we know.

canyonwalker: wiseguy (Default)
George Santos was expelled from Congress on Friday. On Saturday, Saturday Night Live satirized it in its cold open. I just got around to watching it yesterday, and boy, is it funny.



Also in George Santos news: over the weekend Santos started selling videos of himself via the Cameo platform giving customized pep talks. Senator John Fetterman (D-PA) hired Santos to create one urging fellow Sen. Bob Menendez (D-NJ) to "stay strong". Santos made the video without knowing who paid for it or who the "Bob from New Jersey" he was addressing was. Bob Menendez is, of course, a senator who is under multiple federal indictments and is being urged by many members of his own party to resign.


canyonwalker: Sullivan, a male golden eagle at UC Davis Raptor Center (Golden Eagle)
On Friday the US Congress voted to expel representative George Santos. The Congressman's constant and outrageous lies, about everything from his family history and educational achievements, to how he spent campaign contributions on personal clearly expenses, were ultimately too much even for his fellow Republicans in the House. The vote passed 311 to 114, with 105 Republicans voting in favor of expulsion. Example news coverage: CNN live news, 1 Dec 2023.

Congress Expels George Santos (Jimmy Margulies, 2023)

Friday's vote was not Congress's first attempt to oust Santos. Congress voted, and failed, to expel him a month ago. That motion, which was also introduced by fellow Republican members, didn't even gain a majority vote. The constitution specifies a two-thirds majority is required to expel someone from Congress.

So, what's the difference between a month ago and Friday? What moved an additional 81 Republicans— though none of the top four GOP leaders— to vote to boot Santos?

Do these lies make me look incompetent? (Lisa Benson, 2023)
The one thing that's changed is the House ethics committee completed its report. Recall they created a distraction during the previous expulsion vote by promising they'd release "something" (yes, they literally promised something) in a few weeks. Well, that report came out (CNN article 16 Nov 2023), and while it was quite damning it was also nothing new. It was merely a summary of evidence already available in the public record. The committee made no formal finding of guilt, nor did it even recommend expulsion. It merely recommended the DOJ prosecute Santos... which is a farce because the DOJ already started prosecuting him several months earlier.

While the ethics report was essentially a nothingburger... or at least a nothing-new burger... it did make it harder for Republican members of Congress to keep countenancing Santos's behavior. It was surprising to me that almost half of them gave up their previous "No expulsion until a member is convicted of crimes" position and voted to expel Santos now.

I suppose if nothing else his ongoing and ridiculously transparent lies were making it hard for them to sell to the American public their false, evidence-free narrative that Democrats are actually the party constantly telling lies. I mean, all George Santos needed to do, probably, was just shut up and let better liars tell lies. But he couldn't stop.

BTW, I paused to consider whether to include the second political cartoon above. Some would argue that depicting Santos in a dress is a jab at LGBTQIA people— a group that includes Santos, who is openly gay and has admitted he enjoys cross-dressing. I would argue that it's actually a further jab at the hypocrisy of his GOP colleagues, many of whom routinely rail against LGBTQIA people and want to erase them from public life by force of law— for example, House Speaker Mike Johnson has introduced multiple pieces of legislation to criminalize LGBTQIA people and has spoken countless times about how LGBTQIA people are attempting to destroy America by being who they are— yet continued defending Santos because he was a vote in their column.

canyonwalker: Sullivan, a male golden eagle at UC Davis Raptor Center (Golden Eagle)
Two weeks ago the Republican majority in Congress elected "MAGA Mike" Johnson as Speaker of the House. That sobriquet isn't my invention, by the way. It was used first by fellow Republican (and attention-seeking clown) Matt Gaetz in praising his colleague's strong Trumpist credentials in the hours after he was elected speaker. Since then it's been picked up widely by opinion writers— and probably more using it in scorn than praise. But how MAGA is "MAGA Mike"? Here are three things:

Rep. Mike Johnson is not just an election denier, in the sense that he was one of the 140+ current members of Congress who, on 6 January 2021, voted to discard the will of the people expressed through a free and fair election that was not at all close; he is also an architect of election denial. He filed a brief in an utterly frivolous Supreme Court lawsuit attempting to nullify the election results of four states (Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin) and encouraged dozens of Congressional Republicans to sign on to it. He was also a key figure in communicating with Donald Trump to organize actions ahead of January 6.

Johnson staunchly opposes gay civil rights. He not only opposes marriage equality, he has tried to pass laws making LGBTQ sexual activity illegal. He has equated gay marriage to bestiality, equated being gay to being child molesters, and said that allowing LGBTQ rights will destroy America.

Asked by reporters after his election to describe his beliefs, Johnson scoffed, "Go pick [up] a bible." Okay, so he's Christian.... But he doesn't seem to differentiate that the parts of the bible widely cited as condemning homosexuality condemn equally many other things that modern self-professed Christians take far less exception to— including premarital sex and adultery. And, depending on which section of the bible we're talking about (Leviticus 18-20), mixing clothing fabrics such as cotton and wool. And where in the bible does it say it's okay to overturn an election? Oh, right, some of the passages that condemn homosexuality also condemn thievery (1 Corinthians 6:9-11) and liars (1 Timothy 1:8-11) in the same sentence.

canyonwalker: wiseguy (Default)
I wrote yesterday about Representative George Santos getting in deeper trouble from his ongoing lying and cheating. There's more news about him, of course. This past week the House of Representatives held a vote to expel him from Congress. Two house speakers now have waffled on doing such a thing. ...Actually, no, they haven't waffled; they've outright said they won't do it. Worse, they've said out loud the reason is they don't want to imperil their narrow majority. So they're explicitly fine with (admitted) liars and (alleged) thieves in Congress. Today's GOP, ladies and gentlemen!

To be fair, though, it's not all GOP members who are okay with this. The motion to expel was introduced by a few Republican members from districts neighboring the one George Santos represents. Consider it enlightened self interest if nothing else. The rules of the privileged motion in Congress allow it to bypass the ability of the speaker to refuse to schedule a vote.

The vote to expel was held Wednesday. It failed 179-213, with 13 voting Present. Note, while the motion didn't even receive a simple majority of the votes it needed a 2/3 supermajority to pass.

The votes to expel Santos were not cast along strict party lines. 24 Republicans voted in favor of expulsion. 31 Democrats voted against.

The rationale cited by Republicans against expulsion is that Santos hasn't been convicted of a crime... yet. (The Justice Department announced an expanded, 23 count indictment a few weeks ago.) And the House ethics committee hasn't finished its own investigation yet.

Not coincidentally the (Republican) committee chair announced after the motion was made and before the voting started that they would have something to report in two weeks, maybe. Understand that the house ethics committee is generally not known for vigorous investigation. In the past it has recommended expulsion only well after a member has been convicted in a criminal court. It seems likely that the committee chair's announcement was a deliberate move to shift the outcome of the vote by giving members a procedural fig leaf to hide behind.

Democratic members of the house who voted against expulsion cited similar rationale. They asserted that the threshold for expulsion should be a criminal conviction. That's not written in the Constitution or even in the House rules anywhere, so it's just a tradition. I'm a bit leery of that for two reasons. One, I think the House can hold itself and its members to a higher standard than "Don't get convicted of crimes we think are significant enough." Two, something that's merely a tradition, a norm of politics, can be broken at any time by politicians who don't care about political norms. See also, the entire MAGA movement.

Democrats voting against expulsion also warned that expelling Santos right now would set a dangerous precedent. They explain the current ad hoc standard of "No expulsion until after conviction of [certain] crimes" protects Democrats who've recently been accused by various Republican members, frequently without evidence, of lying and committing crimes.

On that basis I'm fine with keeping the standard of waiting until a criminal conviction before expulsion. The only remaining problem is that the wheels of justice turn so slowly. Though in the case of unpopular George Santos, he could lose reelection in 12 months even if his court case takes longer to resolve.

canyonwalker: I see dumb people (i see dumb people)
I haven't blogged much this week. After averaging over 2 posts/day across October (and higher in September) I've posted only 4 blogs in the past 5 days. Part of that is my ongoing travel dry spell— this is our sixth weekend at home— which takes away one of my usual topics of writing. The other part of it is that what's been in the news the past few weeks is mostly politics.

I... kind of hate... writing about politics. It's not that I hate politics or choose not to pay attention to it. Though many people I know profess not to pay attention simply because they find it so odious. No, I follow the news daily, I pay attention, and I care and think deeply about what's happening. The problem is that since politics is so full of bullshit right now— with the Republican party having become basically a nonstop lying machine— paying attention to what's happening and caring about what's happening is exhausting.

I do push myself, though, to write about politics occasionally. I refuse to allow the constant dishonesty and bad-faith dealing of one party force me to drop out. That's actually one of the literal aims of their constant dishonesty and bad-faith dealing! (Ref. Steve Bannon's infamous "flood the channel with shit" quote.) So, speaking of constant dishonesty, I'll write today about one of the GOP's exemplars of ridiculous fabrications, Rep. George Santos.

Since the last time I wrote about liar-liar-pants-on-fire George Santos several months ago he's added way more lies to his increasingly outlandish autobiography and prosecutors have added more charges to his indictment. A few weeks ago Santos was charged with a 23-count indictment (US Justice Dept. press release, 10 Oct 2023) superseding the previous 13 count indictment. Among the 10 new felony charges are wire fraud and election fraud. Santos allegedly stole money from his political donors by making unauthorized charges against their credit cards. And that's just one of the new allegations.

Santos, for his part, remains not only completely unrepentant, but has added absurd new claims to his mountain of lies. (A blog I wrote in January lists several of his original lies.) For example, in an interview two weeks ago with a New York Times reporter he claimed that his niece had been kidnapped and pointed suspicion toward China over the tough political stance he'd taken on some unspecified issue involving China. The reporter checked with police source, who confirmed that officers had investigate but found no evidence of either (a) any involvement by anyone from China, nor (b) even any kind of kidnapping at all. Source: NY Times article 22 Oct 2023.

Santos continues to insist he'll run for reelection in 2024. He also insists voters don't care that he lied about his record. That could be the one false story that actually gets him removed from office.


canyonwalker: Uh-oh, physics (Wile E. Coyote)
It has now been 3 weeks since Rep. Matt Gaetz made a "Motion to Vacate" Speaker of the House Kevin McCarthy from office. With help from a small band of hardliner Republicans, Gaetz's motion passed. With no Speaker, the House was plunged into chaos, unable by its rules to work on any official business except holding votes to elect a new speaker. As that chaos now enters its 4th week we are... apparently not any closer to getting a new speaker.

News today was that the Republican conference chose Tom Emmer, its party whip and thus its #3 leader in the House, to be its nominee and go to a full vote on the floor. Accounts of this secret nomination meeting say it was raucous. Representatives shouted at each other, they traded f-bombs, one openly threatened physical violence on another, and that person's target begged him to come over and try it. Yes, these people carrying on like adolescent schoolyard bullies are our elected leaders. And at the end of the day, after putting forth Emmer as the nominee, he... withdrew.

Emmer withdrew because Donald Trump worked behind the scenes to torpedo his nomination. "He's done," Trump bragged to an ally. "It's over. I killed him."

This shows, BTW, that Trump is very much calling the shots in leading the Republican party. Ironically Trump's boast about killing Emmer came after his spokespeople insisted to the news media today that he has no opinion on this matter and is not at all getting involved.

And Emmer's trouble with Trump? He wasn't sufficiently loyal. Apparently 10 years ago he supported something Trump doesn't like today because it would hurt his chances of winning an election today.

Emmer was no Trump hater, though, even though Trump derided him as a "Never Trumper" in social media. Emmer, in fact, was one of the 120+ sitting Congresspeople to vote to reject the results of the Electoral College on January 6. At least unlike the previous Speaker nominee, Jim Jordan, Emmer didn't participate in plotting the attempts to overturn the will of the people on January 6.

Also, unlike Jordan, Emmer had the good sense to withdraw when he saw he wasn't going to get enough votes. Jordan failed 3 times and kept pushing until his nomination was terminated by the conference over members' objections to his strong-arm tactics— which included his political supporters making credible violent threats against fellow Republican representatives and their families.

It's interesting (and by "interesting" I mean sad) that a pattern is emerging among Speaker nominees. We have the reasonable people vs. the unreasonable ones ...Actually they're all unreasonable ones, having voted on January 6 to overturn the will of the people. So really it's the extremists-who-can-be-reasoned-with-a-little versus the complete braying jackasses. The slightly-reasonable extremists like Scalise (another recent nominee who withdrew) and Emmer can at least see the reality of what's coming and step aside before being embarrassed. The braying jackasses like Jordan will stand there loudly hee-hawing until dragged away. Sadly that means the braying jackasses are running the show.


canyonwalker: Sullivan, a male golden eagle at UC Davis Raptor Center (Golden Eagle)
There's been unexpected movement this week in the Georgia state election fraud trial against Donald Trump and 18 of his cronies. Two of those cronies pleaded guilty this week. Sidney Powell, the Trump lawyer who propagated and litigated some of his campaign's wilder claims about massive vote fraud leading up to the January 6 mob attack on the US Capitol, pleaded guilty on Thursday (CNN.com story). She pleaded to 6 misdemeanors involving tampering with voting machines and illegally accessing voting data in Georgia. Following her surprise about-face with the plea, Trump crony Kenneth Chesebro, an attorney who is regarded as an architect of the fake electors scheme, on Friday made an equally surprising U-turn from proclaiming his innocence to pleading guilty to single felony charge (CNN.com story).

These are not the first guilty pleas in the case. Last month local bail bondsman Scott Hall plead guilty to 5 charges (CNN.com story). Hall was just a bit player in the conspiracy, though. He was a gung-ho local Trump supporter who was rooked by highly placed operatives into illegally entering a county voting office and stealing vote data. Powell and Chesebro are two of those highly placed operatives. They worked with Trump in the White House.

Now three dominoes have fallen along the path leading to Trump in this case. The first one, Hall's plea, wasn't a big one. But his testimony likely helped prosecutors with evidence to get a plea deal with Powell, who had long maintained her innocence. And that in turn rapidly toppled the third domino, Chesebro's guilty plea. This is typical of how conspiracies unravel. How many more dominoes will topple next?

canyonwalker: Sullivan, a male golden eagle at UC Davis Raptor Center (Golden Eagle)
After House Republicans ousted Kevin McCarthy as Speaker of the House last week Tuesday, Congress has been plunged into chaos. By its own rules the House of Representatives is literally not able to act on anything without a Speaker. (There is an Interim Speaker, but the only one thing that person is allowed to do is preside over the process of electing a speaker.) What does that jeopardize? Well, aside from all the business of the US Congress coming to a standstill a few big-ticket items that could reach crisis stage soon are:

  • Funding for the federal government. Two weeks ago the House passed short-term funding measures to keep the government operating for just another 45 days. Those expire in mid November. Congress needs to be working on proper, long term spending agreements now to avoid another crisis and potential government shutdown next month. Ironically, of course, it was specifically because of McCarthy's bipartisan deal to pass those 45-day temporary measures that he was sacked.

  • Military aid to Ukraine. This was clipped out of the temporary funding bill to appease right wing hardliners. Without more support we could soon see this democratic country fall to Russian invasion.

  • Military aid to Israel. The terrorist group Hamas launched attacks of breathtaking scale on Israel Saturday. Israel has declared war. The US, Israel's biggest supporter in the world, is limited in ability to support its ally without a functioning Congress.


While Congress remains on leave most of this week, and was on leave last week after the surprise ouster, two representatives have announced bids for the speakership. Steve Scalise of Louisiana and Jim Jordan of Ohio have thrown their hats in the ring. And even McCarthy, just today, has proposed that he could be selected speaker again. What an awful choice those three make.

While Kevin McCarthy was bad enough, with his post-facto support for subverting the will of the people on January 6 and his support for evidence-free investigations of President Biden's son, Hunter, and the president himself, the other two are even worse. Scalise is even more of the same, and Jordan is not just a supporter of lies but an active planner of them. Jordan leads the committee that has pursued investigations of the Bidens despite no evidence of wrong-doing. Even when witnesses blow up in his face and say there's no evidence, he's kept going. Former Congresswoman Lynn Cheney has said in speeches that the January 6 committee she sat on found evidence that Jordan was a co-conspirator with former president Trump in the days before January 6 on exactly how to do it. We're clearly headed toward even worse chaos when the people who subverted the Constitution for partisan gain are now positioning to gain control of the Constitution's levers of power.
canyonwalker: Sullivan, a male golden eagle at UC Davis Raptor Center (Golden Eagle)
Last night was the first Republican presidential primary debate of the 2024 presidential election cycle. Eight candidates vying for the GOP nomination took the stage in an event hosted and broadcast live by Fox News.

Eight candidates in first GOP presidential primary debate (Aug 2023)

The candidates were former vice president Mike Pence; Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis; former South Carolina governor and former UN ambassador Nikki Haley, former South Carolina governor and former ambassador to the UN; Vivek Ramaswamy; North Dakota Governor Doug Burgum; South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott; former Arkansas governor Asa Hutchinson; and former New Jersey governor Chris Christie.

The Elephant Not in the Room

This debate was in many ways a race to be 2024's also ran— or, more accurately, 2024's also-also ran. That's because former president Donald Trump, who skipped this debate, holds an astonishing lead in opinion polls, with 62% of likely GOP primary voters saying they'd vote for him. The closest competitor is Ron DeSantis, with 16%. Everybody else is in single digits.

Trump not only skipped this debate, he counter-programmed it. He recorded a one-on-one interview with former Fox News TV personality Tucker Carlson that was streamed on X (formerly known as Twitter) starting just 5 minutes before the GOP debate. Consider that a huge middle finger not just to Republican party but to Fox News as well.

Recall that when Trump skipped a GOP primary debate in 2016 Fox News was very critical of him. This time around they tried playing nice even as Trump dunked on them. He not only counter-programmed their live debate, he did it with a disgraced former employee they fired over his involvement in a lawsuit that cost the company nearly 800 million dollars.

Winners and Losers in the Race for Second Place

Everyone always wants to know who won or lost the debate. Based on what I've seen and read there are at least 10 winners and losers— which is astonishing for a debate that only had 8 candidates. I'll keep the list shorter here at 3:

Winner: Nikki Haley. Haley won for Most in Touch with the US Mainstream. She broke with right-wing orthodoxy in criticizing the enormous debt added under Trump's administration, acknowledging that human-caused climate change is real and is a crisis, and saying that abortion shouldn't be banned at the federal level. She also spoke well and clearly, coming across both polished and thoughtful. Would I vote for her? Hell no. While her positions would have intrigued me back in the 1990s, the modern GOP is nothing like the party of 30 years ago. They have remade themselves into a shocking amalgam of liars, clowns, grifters, and fascists. A vote for any one of them is a vote for the whole rotten party and its rotten ideas. I will never again vote for a GOP candidate in any race until the party is reformed— and by reformed I mean so thoroughly cleaned of noxious beliefs and members that really the only solution is for it to go the way of the Whig Party and let something new rise from its ashes.

Winner: Vivek Ramaswamy. Ramaswamy won for Most Trump-like. He knew all the MAGA hot buttons and pressed them. He was bombastic, ignorant, and frankly scary with his outrageous proposals for, e.g., extrajudicial killings of criminal suspects and invading Mexico.

Loser: Ron DeSantis. DeSantis has long been seen as the second place contender in this primary cycle, the only candidate who has a chance of taking the nomination from Trump (as remote as the polling numbers indicate that is). After his campaign has stumbled several times in recent weeks this debate was seen as his moment to shine. Instead, he fell flat. His wooden performance underscored a minority opinion I've seen for weeks about his high profile as Florida governor— that he's strong in carefully choreographed PR opportunities with friendly media inside the GOP echo chamber but can't handle anything outside of that. Indeed, here even inside the GOP echo chamber with friendly media, just criticism from within his own party left him stumbling to find footing.

canyonwalker: Sullivan, a male golden eagle at UC Davis Raptor Center (Golden Eagle)
On Monday this week (Aug 14) a grand jury in Georgia handed up an indictment against Donald Trump and 18 co-conspirators on state charges stemming from their attempt to fraudulently overturn the 2020 election. The crimes charged in the document include false statements to statewide officials, false statements to the state legislature, harassment of election workers, and tampering with election equipment. These are just a few of the 41 counts in the indictment. Example coverage: CNN article updated Aug 15.

Yes, tampering with election equipment. Some of the people charged broke into vote counting machines and/or attempted to do so. So yes, there was vote fraud in the 2020 elections— but not the kind of fraud 40% of US voters think marred the election. The fraud was committed by Trump cronies trying to steal the election for Donald Trump.

And now we see some of those people being charged. Unlike Special Counsel Jack Smith's Aug 2 federal indictment against Donald Trump which described, but did not name, 6 co-conspirators the Georgia indictment names 18 co-defendants. In addition to Trump's election-subverting lawyers Rudy Giuliani, John Eastman, and Sidney Powell, who are almost certainly among the unnamed co-conspirators in the federal indictment (though analysts quickly concluded who at least 5 of the 6 are based on the actions described), the Georgia indictment also names charges against former White House Chief of Staff Mark Meadows and former Acting Assistant Attorney General Jeffrey Clark. Example coverage: CNN article Aug 16; full text of indictment, annotated by CNN (Aug 15).

Comments will be screened to prevent drive-by attacks and disinformation.



canyonwalker: Sullivan, a male golden eagle at UC Davis Raptor Center (Golden Eagle)
After a federal grand jury on Tuesday afternoon indicted Donald Trump with 4 charges related to subverting the results of 2020 election to remain in power illegally, Trump, one of his lawyers, and his surrogates in politics and conservative media have all predictably resorted to a Free Speech defense. As a matter of the First Amendment, they tell us, Donald Trump has the absolute and protected right to state a political opinion. This is no less than a Communist attack on the country's beloved Constitution! ...Or is it?

I said this Free Speech defense is predictable.... How predictable is it? It's so predictable that Special Counsel Jack Smith addressed it in literally the third paragraph under "Introduction" of his 45 page document. For example, see CNN's full text of indictment with annotation (1 Aug 2023).

3.  The Defendant had a right, like every American, to speak publicly about the election and even to claim, falsely, that there had been outcome-determinant fraud during the election and that he had won. He was also entitled to formally challenge the results of the election through lawful and appropriate means, such as seeking recounts or audits of the popular votes in states or filing lawsuits challenging ballots and procedures. Indeed, in many cases the Defendant did pursue these methods of contesting the election results. His efforts to change the outcome in any state through recounts, audits, or legal challenges were uniformly unsuccessful.

As you read this you can sense there's a "But" coming. That "But" is spelled out in the next 43½ pages.

What's the "But"? The but is the difference between speech and conduct. The Constitution protects free speech. It does not guarantee free conduct. Rep. Jamie Raskin gave a vivid example of the difference in a media interview Wednesday:

You can say, well, I think the currency is phony and everybody should be allowed to make up their own money. You can say that. But the minute you start printing your own money now, you’ve run afoul of the counterfeit laws. And it’s the exact same thing with the Electoral College.

They can say, well, we don’t think that Joe Biden really won in these states, even though every federal and state court rejected all of their claims of electoral fraud and corruption. But the minute they start manufacturing counterfeit electors and trying to have them substitute for the real electors that came through the federal and state legal process, at that point, they’ve crossed over from speech to conduct.


Trump's Free Speech defense is a non-starter in any court of law. Unfortunately in the court of public opinion plus-or-minus half the country will think it's true.


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canyonwalker

May 2025

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