canyonwalker: Malign spirits in TV attempt to kill viewer (tv)
It's not often that TV shows get science right. In fact it's downright rare. Even rarer still is a TV miniseries that teaches a class in nuclear physics in its finale. Episode 5 of Chernobyl (2019) did just that. With visual aids printed in Russian, no less.

Valery Legasov (Jared Harris) gives a nuclear physics lesson in "Chernobyl" (2019)

In the miniseries finale, respected scientist Valery Legasov, played by actor Jared Harris, presents a step-by-step scientific explanation of what went wrong in the 1986 Chernobyl disaster (as best as a scientific consensus is able to reconstruct it). It's clear, lucid, and compelling— quite possibly the best bit of science I've seen in a dramatic TV show or movie, ever. Alas it's also not real.

What's not real about it is that the scene portrayed never happened.

In the show, Legasov testifies at a Soviet trial for 3 of the plant managers, Anatoly Dyatlov, Viktor Bryukhanov, and Nokolai Fomin. His explanation highlights three things: 1) the unconscionable things the three defendants did wrong that led to the explosion, 2) the how-to that explains the question, "How does an RBMK reactor explode?" which many people didn't believe was possible, and 3) how reactor design defects known about years earlier and covered up by the Soviet Union also played a key role in the explosion.

So, what's the gap between truth and fiction?

— What's true is  that the trial actually happened. It was in 1987, as shown in the episode, and oddly was held at a converted gymnasium in Chernobyl, which was still radioactive— also shown in the episode. The three defendants in the episode were the actual three men tried there. And while historical footage from the trial is carefully gated by the former Soviet Union, the words and demeanors of the defendants are as accurate as publicly known.

— What's fiction is that Legasov wasn't there. The Soviets didn't need him. They didn't need to have a scientist explain the science to a jury (there was no jury) or even a judge to convict the defendants. It was a show trial, with guilty verdicts the foregone conclusion. The series shows that, too, BTW.

So why add drama-Legasov to the trial scene? I see two good reasons, both of which relate to the need to compress the timeline when telling a narrative story.

— First, it's an important narrative element to explain to viewers the science of what happened. What drama-Legasov elucidates in this scene is information that basically dribbled out of the secretive Soviet Union over the course of several years.

— Second, it compresses the timeline of the story arc of Valery Legasov's last 18 months of life. During that time in real life Legasov became increasingly vocal within the Soviet Union about the defects in the reactor design— a design which many reactors were built from. He suffered professional harm as powerful state leaders and colleagues who kowtowed to the state increasingly marginalized him. In the narrative this is all compressed into half an episode that takes place over the course of a few days.

The series ends where it began, ten months after the trial, on April 26, 1988, at 1:23:45am. It's two years to the minute after the Chernobyl explosion, the worst nuclear disaster in history. Legasov hangs himself. His suicide calls attention to the warnings he'd been struggling to get out. The scientific community takes renewed interest in what he had to say. That, sadly, is real— that it took his death to galvanize people into paying attention.

Rest in peace, Valery Legasov.


canyonwalker: Malign spirits in TV attempt to kill viewer (tv)
In my previous blog about the HBO series Chernobyl I wrote about "The Cost of Lies, The Futility of Truth". Scientist Valery Legasov led the Soviet delegation at a UN IAEA conference held in Vienna in August 1986. As I noted previously Legasov shaded the truth. He not only left out of his report the fact of design flaws in the design of the Soviet RBMK 1000 reactor, of which there were at least a dozen other copies still running, but denied it repeatedly when asked by international scientists and journalists. When the facts of this came out a few years later the IAEA rewrote its report, holding design flaws rather than operator error the chief cause of the explosion. Yet despite his dishonesty he was lauded as a hero at the time by the world.

How was it that he was praised so much while misleading the world?

Valery Legasov presenting a report on Chernobyl to the IAEA in Vienna, Aug 1986 (file photo)
Valery Legasov— the real Legasov, not the actor in the 2019 HBO miniseries— at the UN IAEA conference on Chernobyl in Austria in August 1986


Understand that expectations for honesty from the USSR were low. Remember, the Soviets weren't even going to admit the reactor blew up in the first place. It was spewing as much radiation as the bombs dropped on Hiroshima and Nagasaki every 12 hours, and they didn't want to tell anyone. They only admitted it 2½ days later after a nuclear power plant in Sweden over 600 miles away detected the radiation.

Interesting aside: As I understand it, an alarm at the Swedish Forsmark plant was triggered when radiation was detected on a plant employee's shoe. The employee was arriving at the plant, though; so authorities knew the radiation source was outside the plant.

And even once the Soviets admitted something happened at Chernobyl they downplayed it. They said only that "an accident occurred" that "damaged" one of the reactors. The rest of the world only understood how bad it was from measuring the radioactive fallout across Western and Northern Europe and from observing the site & activity around it through spy satellites and other forms of secret intelligence.

Plus, when the Soviets did acknowledge a problem at Chernobyl, they followed their brief & vague description with a whataboutism screed criticizing Three Mile Island and other nuclear accidents in Western countries. This approach of deny, distract, counterattack was a standard technique of Soviet propaganda. Back in the late '80s and early 90s books on communication styles referred to them as "Soviet-style negotiation". If these techniques seem familiar now it's because Donald Trump has used them publicly pretty much every day since he announced his first run for the presidency in 2015.

So yeah, Legasov was more forthcoming than expected at Vienna— but still didn't say anything other countries hadn't already figured out. Western European nations were measuring radiation in their own countries. Scientists could extrapolate from that how bad the situation must be. And spy satellites confirmed additional details. Legasov's presentation was remarkable primarily that he didn't deny the obvious facts. But still it made him unpopular with many of his peers & many government officials back home.

People who remember that era in Soviet relations might say, "Well, wasn't there Glasnost going on?" Although General Secretary Mikhail Gorbachev mentioned glasnost (literally, "openness") when he became chief executive in 1985 it wasn't until 1986— specifically after August 1986— that he spoke of it as actual policy direction. It's believed that it was through seeing the handling of the Chernobyl cleanup and communication with the world community that Gorbachev recognized it was crucial to do to preserve the country's remaining power.



canyonwalker: Malign spirits in TV attempt to kill viewer (tv)
It's been a few days since I wrote about the HBO miniseries Chernobyl. I was hoping to be done with it before we leave on a short holiday vacation tomorrow. It looks like that's not going to happen now. Anyway, I left off on Monday with Liquidators, Robots, and Bio-Robots, which was about the extended cleanup after stabilizing the still-highly radioactive exposed reactor core. That covered most of the way through episode 4 of the 5 episode series.

Episode 4 ends with an interesting private conversation between the three main characters Valery Legasov, Boris Shcherbina, and Ulana Khomyuk. It's part of a plot thread that's not resolved until early in episode 5, so I wanted to finish everything else from ep. 4 first.

The IAEA (International Atomic Energy Agency) convened a conference in Vienna, Austria, in August 1986 to discuss the Chernobyl disaster. Legasov would be the lead scientific representative from the USSR... and thus the person in the "hot seat" who'll have to answer— or conspicuously not answer— the world's concerns about the reactor explosion.

Legasov discusses plans with Shcherbina and Khomyuk in HBO's "Chernobyl" (2019)

In this well-acted conversation Legasov wavers on how much of the truth to tell. Part of him totally wants to tell the truth, including the very inconvenient truth that there are design defects in the widely used reactor architecture the Soviets have known about for years and covered up. Another part of him frets that it'd be futile. If he exposes too much embarrassing information the state will deny it and discredit him and nothing will get fixed.

Shcherbina and Khomyuk play the demon and angel on Legasov's shoulders. Khomyuk appeals to his morality: if he allows the truth to remain secret, the USSR will keep running numerous existing reactors just like Chernobyl and building new ones, and operators won't know how to avoid the problems that caused the explosion. Shcherbina isn't opposed to telling the truth, per se, but warns of the risks. Not only will the state deny it and discredit Legasov if he goes public with the information in Austria, they'll punish him. He could get a bullet. Best case, prison. And his family and friends would be punished, too. Shcherbina recommends addressing the design problems through internal channels; Khomyuk points out that internal channels already failed.

Ultimately Legasov threads the needle at Vienna. He tells way more of the truth than the international community expects from the USSR. In particular he's frank about gross mistakes made by the operators. At the same time, he holds back enough to keep the Central Party satisfied and not embarrass the Soviet system as dysfunctional or dishonest. He doesn't talk about the design flaws or gaps in training and documentation. This leads the IAEA in its report to place the blame fully on terrible mistakes by plant operators and sets up dramatic tension for Legasov's character in the 5th episode as he grapples with knowing that the design flaws must be talked about more widely or they'll be swept back under the rug— allowing more accidents on the scale of Chernobyl to occur.

 

canyonwalker: wiseguy (Default)
I blogged this morning about the breakthrough milestone in nuclear fusion achieved at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory earlier this month. As I explained it's not really a breakthrough (IMO) because what was achieved was so... preliminary. An operational, scalable solution is still countless steps away.

Some arguing to call this a breakthrough compare it to the Wright brothers' first powered flight at Kitty Hawk in 1903. Indeed, the new field of aviation rapidly developed into a commercial and military success not many years after that. Just under 66 years later we landed a man on the moon! Surely it can't be that long until Mr. Fusion from Back to the Future becomes a reality....

"Mr. Fusion" power generator in the movie "Back to the Future" (1985)

Alas, solving for nuclear fusion is way more complex than designing aircraft.

Back to the Future was set in 1985. At the end of the film a future Doc Brown arrives from 2015 with a fusion reactor— cheekily named Mr. Fusion— powering his time machine Delorean on banana peels on stale beer. 2015 vs. 1985.... Thirty years later.

That's a curious coincidence because scientists and science writers have been saying for quite a while now, "Fusion power is 30 years away." Note, of course, that it's perpetually been 30 years away. "30 Years" is science shorthand for, "We're not saying it'll never happen, but there's no way we can draw a map right now for how to get there from here."

And this Kitty Hawk moment? Well, maybe it moves the needle down to just 29 years.


canyonwalker: wiseguy (Default)
It was in the news last week that scientists at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) in Livermore, California, on the edge of the SF Bay Area, achieved a breakthrough in nuclear fusion. In the multi-billion dollar National Ignition Facility (NIF) they created a controlled nuclear fusion reaction that generated more power than it consumed. Lasers pumped 2.05 megajoules of energy into a fuel pellet; the reaction generated 3.15 megajoules of output.

Okay, to call this a breakthrough is a bit optimistic. It's certainly an important milestone, though. It's the first time a controlled fusion reaction has generated more power output than input required.

Scientists talk about this as a ratio, Q, of output to input. In this experiment Q = 1.5 (approximately). While this being the first time reaching Q > 1 is huge, scientists figure we'll need to get to Q = 10 to make power generation cost effective. Though even the current Q = 1.5 is misleading. That's counting the amount of power the lasers fired into the fuel. Powering the lasers actually cost 100x as much energy— the amount measured by "the meter on the wall", if you will.

Fusion power generation also requires a sustained reaction with Q much greater than 1. NIF's December 5 reaction lasted only a fraction of a second because of limits managing the incredible heat generated. And even the brief experiments up to this point have stressed the machinery at the multi-billion dollar NIF enough that it will need a costly rebuild.

So, this month's experiment isn't really a breakthrough, though it is an important milestone. Just keep in mind that there are many miles left to go.

UpdateOkay, so how long until we have Mr. Fusion powering our cars?


canyonwalker: Malign spirits in TV attempt to kill viewer (tv)
The fourth episode of HBO's five-part miniseries Chernobyl is mostly about liquidators. They were the 400,000 - 700,000 men (nearly all were men) conscripted to clean up in the exclusion zone. They came in once the destroyed nuclear reactor was at least stabilized so as not to risk causing imminent additional explosions and the region was evacuated— though some residents were... reluctant... to leave.

Liquidators had a variety of tasks. One big effort was to till all the soil in the exclusion zone, burying the radioactive dirt so it wouldn't be exposed to dusting or runoff. Another, which I wrote about in my previous blog on the movie, was to kind and kill all the abandoned pets in the zone. Other combed through fields and streams looking for irradiated items that had been carried away from near the reactor and then abandoned. But the most dangerous jobs were at the reactor itself. While the open core had been rendered safe from further imminent explosion it was still highly radioactive.

In particular, there was radioactive debris on the roofs of several connected buildings in the power plant. Among these was the roof of reactor 3. Yes, there was another reactor right next to the one that exploded— and it was still running. (In fact the last of the 3 remaining reactors at Chernobyl didn't shut down until 2000.)The radioactive debris needed to be removed because it was a danger to the environment in general and to remaining plant workers in particular.

At first the Soviets deemed the roof areas too dangerous for people to work in. The debris on the roof of reactor building 3 emitted such intense radiation a person would absorb a fatal dose in less than 2 minutes standing there. Thus they sent robots to clean the roof.

The robots were basically remote-operated bulldozers. They were meant to collect radioactive debris and sweep it off the edge of the roof, into the pile around the core of reactor 4. But the radiation there was too intense. Ionizing radiation at the level of 10,000-15,000 Roentgen/hour or higher quickly fried the control circuitry of every robot brought in.

Thus the Soviets turned to bio-robots.

Chernobyl liquidators on the roof - HBO miniseries (2019) and reality (1986)
3,828 "Bio-Robots"— aka people— cleared 90% of the radioactive debris from the roof. The side-by-side picture shows a scene from the HBO miniseries (left) and a file photo from 1986 (right).

Bio-robots, as you might have guessed, is a euphemism for people. But that's what they called it. Bio-robots People cleared 90% of the debris from the roofs.

The areas still were highly radioactive. Leaders determined that a liquidator could spend just 90 seconds on the roof. And that wasn't "90 seconds, then you're done for the day"; it was "90 seconds, then you're done with radiation for your entire life. Don't come back." But records show some workers did go back out on the roof for a second or even third sortie.

Per records there were 3,828 bio-robots at Chernobyl. Every one of them is a brave soul as they had to work with minimal protection. And those who went back a second or third time beyond the call of duty are especially selfless.

Next in this series: The Cost of Lies, the Futility of Truth



canyonwalker: Malign spirits in TV attempt to kill viewer (tv)
A week ago Hawk and I binged the HBO miniseries Chernobyl from 2019. We watched 5 hour-long episodes in a single sitting. That was more than we expected... because the show was more engrossing than we expected. But why even watch it at all? For both of us a big part of the reason was that this enormous accident happened during our lifetimes— yet we didn't know much about it.

I was a teenager when the accident occurred in April 1986, finishing up my freshman year of high school. I was old enough (and precocious enough) that I was following national and international news and forming opinions about it. Hawk was a couple years younger than me and also paying attention to things. And yet.... And yet, all we remember about Chernobyl is the very broadest strokes: A bad accident happened. The Soviets lied about how serious it was, until they couldn't. Then they cleaned it up. They built a concrete "sarcophagus" built around the ruins of the reactor and created an exclusion zone 60km across.

As a scientifically educated person I knew a bit more about the accident— but I learned those things only years after it, only by choosing to read about it when 99.9% of the world had moved on from caring about it, and had to struggle through excessively technical and poorly written descriptions to reach an understanding. I looked to the miniseries as an opportunity to better understand something that shaped the world I grew up in— and nearly did way worse than "shape" it. 😨

The Chernobyl Podcast featuring Craig Mazin and Peter Sagal (HBO, 2019)

After watching the 5 episodes of the miniseries I started watching some of the extras. Showrunner Craig Mazin did a series of podcasts, radio style interviews with NPR host Peter Sagal. In the podcast for episode 1 Mazin described how he started this project... and the reason he created it is the same reason I watched it!

In the podcast Mazin describes that the Chernobyl accident happened when he was about 15. He was aware of it at the time, but only in the broad strokes: a nuclear power plant accident occurred, Soviets lied about how bad it was until evidence made it undeniable, then they cleaned it up, then there was a sarcophagus and an exclusion zone. That's basically the same recollection I had, from a similar age!

Mazin also, like me, looked into details many years later. But Mazin looked at it with a filmmaker's eye rather than an engineer's eye. Meaning, he saw irony and drama. The irony was that technicians at the plant were running a safety test when the reactor core exploded. "It's like you're testing the brakes on your car," he explained (paraphrased), "But instead of slowing down your car zooms forward, catches fire, and crashes!" He knew there had to be a gripping story there.

And there is. Start with 1:23:45.

And keep reading after this: Chernobyl has serious horror movie energy.


canyonwalker: Malign spirits in TV attempt to kill viewer (tv)
Yesterday I wrote about 1:23:45, the first episode of HBO's 5-part miniseries Chernobyl. In that blog I addressed just the opening scene of the episode, a crackling monologue by scientist Valery Legasov. There's a lot more to the episode than just that scene, of course. Don't expect a ratio of 1 episode = 1 blog as I write about this miniseries. There's too much to unpack. Just episode 1 will stretch to at least 3 blogs.

While the episode starts with Legasov, portrayed by actor Jared Harris, who'll be the main character of the miniseries, it switches away from him after the opening few minutes. It does that with an arrangement that is very unusual for narrative storytelling. Episode 1 plot twist )

The show next introduces two minor recurring characters, Vasily and Lyudmilla Ignatenko. They are awakened in the middle of the night in their Pripyat apartment by the sudden explosion less than 2km away. They see the burning reactor through their window.

1:23:45, episode 1 of Chernobyl (2019, HBO)

Vasily is a firefighter and is shown in the poster for the episode. He knows he will be called to fight the fire so he starts getting ready. As we see later in the episode, the firefighters go right up to the wreckage of the exploded nuclear reactor. They are not afraid.

Of course, part of their fearlessness is ignorance. They literally don't know how dangerous it is. They've never been trained on what radioactivity is, despite working as emergency responders in an "atom city" devoted to staffing a nuclear power plant. The specific dangers of this accident haven't been explained either. The nuclear core has exploded, and radioactive material is literally on the ground at their feet as they carry hoses toward the fire, yet they've been told they're fighting a "roof fire" with burning tar.

The lies that left initially hundreds of people, and soon millions, unaware of mortal danger, started within seconds of the explosion. This is shown in the third scene of episode. In the control room plant operators are stunned by the explosion.

Operators in the control room of Chernobyl ep. 1, 1:23:45 (HBO, 2019)

In the control room we meet characters Anatoly Dyatlov (pictured above, played by Paul Ritter), Leonid Toptunov (pictured, background), and Aleksandr Akimov (not pictured). They're all a bit stunned. They're not sure what's happened. Dyatlov, the deputy chief engineer, goes immediately into damage control mode. And by "damage control" I mean personal damage control.

Dyatlov blames Akimov and Toptunov for screwing up even though they were a) following his orders, and b) nobody's even sure what's going on yet. Despite nobody in the control room being sure what's happened, Dyatlov asserts it's an explosion in one of the control tanks. As other operators stumble into the control room to report that, no, it's not the control tanks, it's the whole reactor core, he dismisses them as delusional.

Dyatlov also blocked objective information that would've indicated the dangerous nature of the situation. Radiation dosimeters carried by the operators reported 3.6 Roentgen/hour— a level that's series but not "OMG, run away!" But as various technicians pointed out, 3.6 was the top of the scale for those dosimeters. The techs wanted to get to meters with higher scales; Dyatlov shut that down as a waste of time. It should be a requirement for passing even high school science classes to know that when a meter is pegged at the top of its scale the true measurement is likely well above that level.

The lie of 3.6 took on a life of its own. Dyatlov reported it to the plant manager and chief engineer, who relayed it up through the bureaucracy all the way to Premier Mikhail Gorbachev, as well as to the local executive committee in Pripyat. 3.6 was key to the lie in that it was dangerous but not that dangerous. The local committee added to the situation of lies by deciding that the appropriate thing to do in this circumstance was to seal the city, so nobody could get out, and also cut the phone lines. It was an exercise in Orwellian doublethink to hold simultaneously that 1) the accepted "truth" isn't that bad yet 2) it's also so dangerous that it must be kept from people.

Thus, because information was suppressed, a number of people sacrificed themselves without realizing their danger in the moment. The firefighters took the brunt of it as they rushed in to a situation with false information and no protection.

There were instances of informed sacrifice, though. As the episode frames it, most of the operators in the plant knew what happened. Dyatlov was in denial for his own reasons, but most of the others figured it out from the information available. I mean, there was at least one person who entered the control room and said he saw the containment vessel destroyed. Others subsequently went and saw it themselves— knowing that even to look meant taking lethal doses of radiation. They knowingly walked to their own deaths believing that by doing so they would save countless other lives. Instead Dyatlov and his superiors rebuked them as liars when they confirmed reports of an open core and a full-on meltdown.

Update: keep reading: Why I watched Chernobyl - same as why Mazin created it!


Chernobyl

Dec. 3rd, 2022 06:10 pm
canyonwalker: Malign spirits in TV attempt to kill viewer (tv)
Last night Hawk and I watched the HBO miniseries Chernobyl. It's about about the 1986 nuclear accident at the Soviet power plant Chernobyl near the city of Pripyat in what is today Ukraine.

Chernobyl, an HBO miniseries (2019)

The miniseries aired in 2019. It's been on my watch list basically since then. As a scientifically educated person I've always been curious to learn more about what happened there. I knew from cursory reading years ago that the gist of it was that operators disabled or ignored multiple safety systems and protocols while running a horribly misconceived "experiment". I looked forward to learning more about it through this series critically acclaimed for its accuracy and depth of research.

Chernobyl spans five episodes, each about an hour long. We surprised ourselves by bingeing all five in one sitting Friday night, staying up until 2am Saturday. I'll post thoughts episode by episode soon.

Update: keep reading: 1:23:45. The Cost of Lies.

Profile

canyonwalker: wiseguy (Default)
canyonwalker

May 2025

S M T W T F S
     1 2 3
4 5 6 7 8 9 10
11 12 13 14 15 16 17
18 19 20 21 22 23 24
25 26 27 28293031

Syndicate

RSS Atom

Most Popular Tags

Style Credit

Expand Cut Tags

No cut tags
Page generated May. 29th, 2025 04:34 am
Powered by Dreamwidth Studios