canyonwalker: Sullivan, a male golden eagle at UC Davis Raptor Center (Golden Eagle)
I began a journey down memory lane yesterday when I wrote a journal entry about how my parents never liked attending the church of their faith that was right in our neighborhood. Instead of a short walk up the hill behind our house to the local church where we might see our own neighbors, we piled in the car and drove 20 minutes each way to a church in the next town over.

As I wrote in that blog, my parents were evasive about why they preferred the one far away. My parents, especially my father, gave only vague non-answers whenever I wondered. After a while I stopped asking.

The truth about the church up the hill came out decades later, not long before my father passed away. He knew he was in his last few months of life. He told me one of his goals then was to square things with relatives who were estranged from him. I wasn't estranged by any stretch of the imagination. I was traveling coast-to-coast every few weeks to visit and support him. During one of our bedside chats he told me the story. Well, not the whole story. He gave me just the one or two missing pieces that allowed me connect up the puzzle from other things he'd told me over the years and from things I remember from as far back as my own early childhood.

The story goes back to the mid 1970s when my dad lost his job as a store manger in a retail chain.

AI rendering of when a chain of stores closed and everyone lost their jobs (Google Gemini, Oct 2025)

The mid 1970s were a tough time in the US. The country was just coming out of a deep economic recession spurred by the first oil embargo. The recession was probably why his employer folded. And even though the recession was over by the way economists define it, it wasn't over by the way ordinary people might define it. Companies were failing. Those that weren't failing still weren't hiring. The unemployment rate was above 7%. So when my dad's employer shut down and sent everyone to the unemployment line, finding new work wasn't easy. It took my dad months... maybe even a year or more.

By the way, yes, I'm using AI image generation to help illustrate this story. No, I don't have real photos to share from that time. I was too young even to hold a camera then. I mean, I was still filling diapers when this shit went down. And my parents never snapped many photos during my childhood. That always struck me as weird when I was older, because my dad had been a semi-pro photographer when he was in high school and college.

I saw some of his 1960s era work decades later. It was in a box from his mother, who'd just passed away at age 101. It looked good. He could have made it a career. Why did he put his cameras down and then not pick up another one for, like, 40 years? And also, his mom kept copies his vintage work as mementos; he never did. I might've asked him "why?" about either of those facts, but as I already explained early in this story, my dad was famously loath to answer such questions. In that respect he was like a perpetual pouty teenager giving guttural one-word answers.

Anyway, AI image generation. I'm using it here because I think telling the story with some pictures improves if, even if the pics are not authentic. For one, having pictures beats walls of text. Two, I've iterated on the prompts for these pictures to have them reflect, accurately, particular elements of the story. Of course it's impossible to have them accurately reflect everything, even the spotty parts I remember in snapshot memories from my early childhood. I've got a funny story to share about some of the prompting I had to do while creating an image I'll use later in the story. I'll share that anecdote when we get there.

To be continued....

canyonwalker: wiseguy (Default)
It was only a matter of time. For a few years we had the scourge of robo-spam calls. You know, spam campaigns where a recorded voice tries to trick you into something, like your relatives in China are in trouble with the central government, and asks you to stay on the line for more instructions. (Yeah, that one was easy to detect— and ignore— because it was in Chinese and I have no Chinese relatives.) But now, because it's 2025 and AI is popping up everywhere, we have AI robo-spam. Spammer aim to increase their hit rate— the chance that you interact with their pitch— by making it seem almost like a real person is talking to you.

I answered my first call like this last night.

Note, I don't answer many spam calls anymore. They've become easy to spot, as the Caller ID comes up "Potential Spam" on my smartphone. I chose to answer this one on the theory of once you answer they stop trying. (I base this on knowledge of how auto-dialers work, from my experience as a telemarketer 😨 many years ago. The system will keep trying your number periodically until it logs a live-person connection.) Plus, sometimes these calls are not from spammers, per se, but from organizations I have a relationship with.

The call began innocuously enough, with seemingly a live person on the other end.

"HI, IS THIS <YOUR NAME>?"

"Yeah, this is <first name>."

"<long pause> THIS IS ERICA FROM CREDIT-SOMETHING. HOW ARE YOU?"

The voice seemed a bit off. It was natural sounding but boomy. And it was too perfect. That triggered my suspicions. Most spam callers nowadays frankly struggle with English— because they're low-skill workers in foreign countries where the cost of labor is lower than in countries where English is the primary language.

"What's this about?" I asked, aiming to short-circuit the obvious cold-call.

"<long pause> GREAT! I'M CALLING ABOUT—"

The second long pause and the fact that the caller responded as if I'd answered her question ("How are you?") instead of countering with my own question told me I was likely speaking to a robot. And by "robot" I mean an AI powered system. Though obviously not a great one.

"Are you a robot?" I asked, interrupting

"<long pause> I AM AN INTERACT VOICE ASSISTANT!"

"Ergo, you're a robot. <click>"

canyonwalker: wiseguy (Default)
There's a water leak in our condo complex. These happen frequently with the landscape irrigation system; squirrels and other critters chew chew the half-buried plastic pipes. This leak seemed a bit more persistent than a landscaping pipe, though. Water was leaking steadily, not just for the 15 or 30 minutes a day that the irrigation system runs. Concern about the problem led to a robust discussion in our neighborhood email forum.

"Supergirl has looked at the water leak", the HOA president assured us.

That was certainly an autocorrect mistake. 🤣 Our landscaper's name is somewhat similar, at least in terms of how autocorrect works, to "Supergirl". But I couldn't resist picturing this...

Supergirl the plumber - generated by Gemini AI (Jun 2025)

...with the help of Google's Gemini AI.

That's right, AI. The thing that's going to take all of our jobs in a few years. We'll be sitting at home, surviving off our unemployment checks— at least for the 13 weeks those last— but we'll be able to entertain ourselves by prompting AI to draw pictures making light of our woes!

I made that first picture with a simple prompt like, "Draw a comic book style picture of Supergirl as a plumber." I then refined it a bit to include cues about where the leak is in our neighborhood and got this:

Supergirl the plumber - generated by Gemini AI (Jun 2025)


canyonwalker: wiseguy (Default)
At my sales training seminar the past few days I had a number of conversations with colleagues about AI. These convos spanned topics from "What are we doing [in our product] to align with industry demand for AI powered features?" to "How can we use AI in our jobs in sales to sell more effectively?"to "Is our job [in sales] even going to exist in 5 years?" There's so much I could write about AI even within these topics, let alone the broader discussions about AI. For this, my first journal entry about AI, I'll start with the latter question— which, to state it in more dire terms, is,  Is AI coming for my job?

I use this alarmist language to make a point: This is what people are worry about more and more. And this is the type of lanaguage that's becoming increasingly common as people express their thoughts/concerns.

I don't think the future is as bad as all that. I think we're at a point in the technology hype curve where there's a lot of uncertainty. And I want to be careful to say that I really can't predict the future of AI, even 5 years out.

Why 5 years? Consider how far AI has come in 5 years. 5 years ago AI was more science fiction than science fact.

Three years ago AI was full of hype but still short of reality. While many people in software development, my field, were buzzing about how AI would give us "10x" improvements and pouring money into it, a few of us were pointing out that there was currently no there there and such investment was like the proverbial lemmings chasing each other over the cliff.

Two years ago in software development we started to see the actual value of AI appear. AI could write code— but generally simple code, and it needed more testing and definitely review by a skilled person. The new wisdom became, "AI makes programmers 30% more efficient." That's a far cry from the 1000% gain people were still frothing about 12 months earlier!

Today, in software, we're seeing that 30% level of gain take hold more broadly. Some people react to that figure by asking "Does that mean layoffs of 30% among software developers?" I think that viewpoint fails to appreciate what's happened across the history of technological progress.

Yes, new technology has always reduced the number of old jobs that were doing things the old way. In the industrial revolution factory automation reduced the number of jobs for everything from sawing wood to stitching clothes to digging for coal. A simplistic view of it is, "Machines replaced people." But while machines replaced jobs where people were doing rote, manual work, the economy was not a zero-sum game. Overall the economy grew because of efficiency, and new, higher value jobs were created elsewhere.

The same lesson applies with the AI transformation. AI will replace people who are doing lower level, more rote jobs. But economic gains will mean more higher level jobs can be created elsewhere. For those who are looking at it as zero-sum, though, and wondering, "Will AI take my job?" the answer is really, "People who know how to use AI to be more productive will replace those who don't."


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