canyonwalker: Better Call Saul starring Bob Odenkirk (better call saul)
I've written a few blogs already about minor character Mike in season 3 of Better Call Saul. While I've quipped that main character Saul hasn't appeared yet that's partly an amusing misdirection on my part.... Main character Jimmy McGill certainly has a story arc the first few episodes of season 3. It's just that he hasn't yet adopted his new name— the one we know from Breaking Bad and the one that's promised in the title of this show— Saul Goodman.

Jimmy's story in season 3 picks up from the season 2 finale, where Chuck tricked Jimmy into admitting on tape he tricked Chuck by falsifying documents. Chuck continues his manipulation of Jimmy— and other people— in 3.01 by tricking one of his company's legal assistants, into revealing information about the tape to Jimmy through Kim. Chuck, who if you recall was all high-and-mighty about "You hurt people, Jimmy, that's just what you do", seems to have absolutely no ethical problem with destroying other people's careers to punish Jimmy. He does this to provoke Jimmy into breaking into his house to steal the tape. He's so sure Jimmy will do it that he hires 24/7 security for his house, at his employer HHM's expense, to wait in his house to be witnesses when Jimmy makes his move.

In 3.02 Jimmy storms into Chuck's house demanding the tape. I caught myself talking back to the screen, "No, Jimmy, don't do that, it's wrong and it's a trap," but like teens in a horror movie following a trail of monster slobber around a blind corner, he does the stupid, self destructive thing anyway. It's part of his character that he's impulsive. And he's really pissed at Chuck for manipulating him into the confession.

You taped me?! You asshole! [...] You pulled that heartstrings con job on me?! You piece of shit! "Oh, my brain used to work, I'm sick, I don't know what to do!" Asshole! No wonder Rebecca left you! What took her so long?!
Jimmy finds the tape and destroys it. Coincidentally Chuck's law partner, Howard, is also there, hiding in the kitchen along with one of the private investigators Chuck hired to wait in his house. All three men are witnesses to Jimmy breaking in and destroying property.

Episode 3.03 picks up minutes after this. The police have been called to Chuck's house. Jimmy is being arrested. Jimmy, no stranger to what happens to criminal defendants when they're caught red-handed, goes outside to await his fate (handcuffs and a free ride in the back of a police car, followed by a night in jail) quietly. Chuck comes out to lecture him sanctimoniously:

Here's what's going to happen. The police will arrest you and I'm sorry, but I will be pressing charges. I told you there would be consequences. But I have to believe you'll face those consequences and you'll come out the other side a better man. I know it's hard to see right now. But Jimmy, this is an opportunity. That's why I'm doing this. Not to punish you. To show you... truly show you, that you have to make a change. Before it's too late. Before you destroy yourself. Or someone else. And I believe you can change. You'll find your path. And when you're ready... I will be there to help you walk that path.

Jimmy fires back at his brother:

Here's what's gonna happen. One day, you're gonna get sick again. One of your employees is gonna find you, curled up in that space-blanket, take you to the hospital, hook you up to those machines that beep and whir and hurt. And this time, it'll be too much. And you will die there. Alone.

I agree with Jimmy on this one. Though Jimmy did the crime and deserves to be punished, Chuck in his zeal to see Jimmy punished has completely discounted the years of sacrifice Jimmy made to help him. Chuck, as we've seen through various flashbacks up to this point in the series, has a lifetime of bitterness against Jimmy. He's bitter because he believes their parents loved Jimmy more than him despite him being the good son and Jimmy being the bad one. So yeah, fuck Chuck. He can die alone. In reality he'd be dead already from running  those stupid propane lanterns inside his house.

Edited to add: In episode 3.05 Chuck refers to the legal maxim, Fiat justitia ruat caelum. Translated from Latin it means, "Let there be justice though the heavens fall." How ironic it is— how self-unaware Chuck is— that he espouses this philosophy when, through his monomaniacal zeal to punish Jimmy, it's the heavens he's pulling down on his own head.

canyonwalker: wiseguy (Default)
Recently I've been writing about the use of metrics in the workplace, especially the pitfalls of using them poorly or simplistically. The pitfall I'm writing about in this chapter is how when a measure becomes the objective it ceases to be a good measure.

This is often called Goodhart's Law (Wikipedia link), based on the writings of a British economist who challenged UK economic policy in the 1970s:

"Any observed statistical regularity will tend to collapse once pressure is placed upon it for control purposes."
-- Charles Goodhart, 1975
The adage was later generalized to other areas of policy, especially once stated in the less dry terms I used above. (That restatement was published by Marilyn Strathern in 1997.) But as it applies to the use of measures in business, or even in government policy, there's an earlier observation that states the problem even better, Campbell's Law:

"The more any quantitative social indicator is used for social decision-making, the more subject it will be to corruption pressures and the more apt it will be to distort and corrupt the social processes it is intended to monitor."
-- Donald T. Campbell, 1969
Campbell's formulation is a bit dry and academic, too, so let me offer my own restatement: When a system focuses on simple measures, there's risk people will game the system.

Gaming the system is what happened when salesperson "Missy" scheduled bullshit sales calls to earn bonuses and accolades, as I described in a previous blog. Her behavior was a corruption of what the company intended to achieve, which was to increase sales and reward people who contributed to that. Instead Missy contributed nothing to sales, and wasted other people's time in the process, and collected extra pay for it.

It's worth noting that not all instances of gaming the system are as harmful as Missy's. Sometimes employees game the system but only cheat themselves. I've seen plenty of instances in sales, for example, where employees are asked to complete a small bit of training and fake their way through it. This has often happened when pressure is applied through management. Managers are held to account for 100% of their staff completing the task. It becomes a statistic displayed on the screen at weekly meetings of the management team in front of senior executives. Managers then turn to their employees and say things like, "Just get the green check-mark" -- putting the emphasis on securing the indicator of success instead of absorbing the training and learning from it to actually become more successful at the job.

So, do witty sayings like Goodhart's Law and Campbell's Law mean that all metrics are doomed? Hardly. They're really arguments that poor or simplistic metrics, and excessive focus on single metrics as indicators of success, cannot replace comprehensive understanding of actual success.

canyonwalker: Cthulhu voted - touch screen! (i voted)
Okay, I know, I'm a week behind on catching up with speeches at the Democratic National Convention (DNC). Just this evening I watched some of the highlights from Night 2, which was last Tuesday. But please— no spoilers! I haven't finished the series yet. 🤣

Night 2 featured a bunch of great speeches. Some who were made fun of even on not-rightwing programs actually did pretty good jobs. Doug Emhoff and J.B. Pritzker, I'm looking at you. Former President Barack Obama spoke; and, as usual, he was eloquent and inspiring. But even his oration paled slightly as he had the toughest act to follow. The standout speech of the night was delivered by his wife, former First Lady Michelle Obama.

Much has been made of how Michelle Obama then— in her speech to the 2016 DNC— is different from Michelle Obama now. To me the difference was like this:

Michelle Obama, then and now (Aug 2024)

Okay, Michelle didn't actually say, "Lemme tell you about this weird, orange-faced mf...." But it sure felt like it. 2024 Michelle Obama spat some fire in her speech.

It was so refreshing to hear her put aside the quote from 2016 she's so indelibly linked with, "When they go low, we go high." Because the truth is, when your opponent lies as much as hers does, you can't just talk about your noble ideals. You've got to call out selfishness, hatred, and lies for what they are.

And yeah, I'm only, like, the 10,000th person to offer a meme about Michelle Obama. But here's the other thing about everybody celebrating her taking her dragging former President Donald Trump in her speech.... Going on the attack was only a small part of her speech. Michelle Obama was uplifting and inspiring. With just the right amount of ass-kicking.
canyonwalker: Mr. Moneybags enjoys his wealth (money)
A few weeks ago I read an article about some of the wisdom of Charlie Munger. Munger, who died last year at age 99, was famously the vice-chairman of Berkshire Hathaway, the corporate conglomerate controlled by the legendary Warren Buffett. In an article on Moneywise, ‘Who in the hell needs a Rolex watch?’: Why Charlie Munger warned Americans against ‘pretentious expenditures, the authors tell how Munger criticized people buying status symbols and yearning to have as much as the (wealthier) people around them. “I have conquered envy in my own life,” Munger famously said.

While I have great respect for Munger's business prowess, reading this article made me think, "Wealthy aging billionaire is out of touch with the 99.99%." I could quickly think of two reasons far better than tongue-clucking about envy why people— people who aren't billionaires— yearn for more and buy status symbols.

But first, Rolex watches? Okay, Boomer. 🤣 Seriously, affluent younger people are not buying Rolex. It's like your grandfather's Buick. Other brands lead mindshare among affluent people in their 30s and 40s, even some in their 50s, today.

Now, here are the two reasons other than "envy" that immediately came to mind for why people in the middle class, and especially the upper middle, strive for more:

1. Financial Security

The main reason I see why those of us who enjoy a certain degree of comfort today, i.e,, those of us who are middle class & upper middle class, keep striving for more is that we are trying to create financial security. Or, to put that in terms of another of Munger's aphorisms— to structure your planning around things you want to avoid—the imperative here is Don't die in poverty.

Building wealth in our working years has become critical to  avoid living old age in poverty. Older generations had retirement plans and confidence in Social Security. In Gen X we saw retirement plans largely disappear from the private sector when we were starting our careers. Union membership was trending down, as well. Today it's at 10% in the US– and half of that is in the public sector. Union membership in the private sector is 3%. We also saw from back in the early 1990s the upcoming demographic crunch in Social Security that will force significant benefit cuts by the time we reach retirement age. At the same time, medical costs have been spiraling ever higher. Lots of retirees with only modest nest eggs are being bankrupted by health costs. My cohort and I thus internalized from our early 20s, and have seen only further proof with every passing year, that when it comes to living in retirement, we're on our own to avoid poverty.

Even the Moneywise article points out that Munger's tongue-clicking about envy came as he was sitting on a multi-billion dollar pile of assets. Yeah, Richie Rich, you've got yours, 100 times over. You don't have to worry about a damn thing, and haven't for at least 50 years. Stop being a shit to those of us still trying to build even one one-hundredth of your wealth.

2. The Needs of Networking

Why do people "Keep up with the Joneses?" Sure, one reason is envy. But there's another reason, too. It's more subtle. Not everyone gets it. I sure didn't when I was younger and had a very STEM/academic mindset. As I've matured in my career in business, though, it's become very obvious. To get ahead in business you need the support of people with power and wealth. And to get that support from the powerful and wealthy, you need to meet them where they're at.

Where are they at? For one, they're playing golf. To climb the ladder in business you need to play golf— because golf is very much a sport of powerful in business, and lots of business networking happens on the golf course. Now, golf is expensive. You may need a membership in a club. Maybe a country club? That's actually not a bad idea because wealthy people networks are centered around country clubs. People you meet and can get introduced there can make the difference between your business ideas being embraced and funded, versus you being like the proverbial Hollywood waiter with a script nobody cares about.

Oh, and while you're driving to the golf course, or the country club, or even the sailing club— another place where the demographic of business leaders hangs out— you'll need to roll up in the right kind of car. And the right shoes, watch, etc. Yes, people make snap judgments about you in the first few seconds based on your appearance. Even the wealthy do that. If you roll up in a Toyota Camry, most of this demographic is not going to admire your fiscal sensibility. They're going to look right past you. You need not just a statement watch but a statement car.

Oh, and are your kids going to public schools? Ha ha ha, the wealthy and powerful people's kids are not. If you want to bond with them over your shared love of your kids, you need to send your kids to the same schools. Y'know, the ones that cost $50,000 a year. Per kid. And we're not talking Harvard, here. We're talking elementary school.

"But didn't Munger climb the business ladder without such expenses?" you might ask. Yes, he did. But one counter-example does not disprove a general fact. Munger was lucky enough to meet a fellow thrifty contrarian, Warren Buffett, early in his career. Very few of us ever get the chance to be hired by a unicorn like Buffett. I also note Munger also benefited from network connections in a different way— through family privilege. For example, when he was rejected from Harvard law school, a friend of his father's called up the dean of the school— the dean— and told him to admit Munger. Did Munger get through law school on his own merits? Yes; he graduated magna cum laude. But the challenge with succeeding on merit alone is that there are also more worthy applicants, whether it's for school or a promotion or a business investment, then there are spots for acceptance. The one whose worthy application gets accepted is the one that gets shuffled to the top of the pile by networking connections. And unless you're born into them, they cost money to build.

canyonwalker: My other car is a pair of hiking boots (in beauty I walk)
Australia Travelog #27
Valley of the Waters, NSW - Fri, 29 Dec 2023, 10:30am

The first part of our hike down into Valley of the Waters was not exactly fun. The sky was gray, casting a pall over everything. And there was lots of descent— which not only ached my injured ankle going down but made me dread the pain I'd endure climbing back up. That cast a further pall over things.

The pall of pain I couldn't do much about except grit my teeth in determination. There is no "back", only forward.

As for the pall of the gray sky... well, that's actually good for visiting waterfalls. The dimmer sky creates a more intimate atmosphere down underneath the tree canopy. Moisture on the leaves from fog or light rain makes everything glisten. And the dimmer, more even light from the overcast sky makes waterfall photography more vibrant. ...That sounds paradoxical; dimmer equals more vibrant? It's because, technically, the dimmer light makes it easier to capture the the contrast of the scene with a camera's limited range of brightness sensitivity.

Now about those waterfalls....

Empress Falls in Valley of the Waters, NSW, Australia (Dec 2023)

Empress Falls (above) was the nominal star of the trip. She's the tallest on today's trek, with the upper set of cascades being about 80' tall. I thought this lower vantage point, showing the wider, shorter lower tier made for better composition. Update: I'll come back to the upper part in my next blog.

Below Empress Falls the trail kept going down, down, down. I wasn't sure how well I could make it back up but... in for a penny, in for a pound, as they say. Or, there is no "back", only forward.

Sylvia Falls in Valley of the Waters, NSW, Australia (Dec 2023)

I was glad I kept going forward, as Sylvia Falls is quite beautiful. At less than half the height of Empress Falls I found it more enchanting, partly because it's right there next to you. And the gentler flow of water makes it even more intimate.

Trail reports had warned us that the trail is blocked below Sylvia Falls by a landslide. We didn't see any signs of closure of danger, though, so we continued forward.

Sitting by an unnamed falls in Valley of the Waters, NSW, Australia (Dec 2023)

We found one more falls (above) before the trail was blocked. This falls was much smaller than the others but even more intimate. Intimate, as in you could sit right next to it.

We weren't the only ones here. A family had arrived just ahead of us. An adolescent girl posed for pictures in the water (we waited for her to finish) while her older brother snapped lots of pictures with his DSLR camera.

Keeping Australia's Kids Off Drugs

I noticed the boy balancing his camera on his dad's shoulder. "I see you've got an impromptu tripod there," I ventured. "Are you using with a neutral density filter to take slow-exposure pics?"

"Nah, I need to buy one of those next," he answered.

"What filter size does your lens take?" I asked, seeing already that it was likely the same as mine. Once we confirmed it was the same size, I offered him my 6-stop ND filter (some technical discussion in this blog and another blog it links to) to try shooting some silky water pics. He enjoyed capturing several frames and then passed the filter back to me. Well, if he got some Amazon gift certificates for Christmas, I know one thing he might want to buy now. 😅 There's an old saying, "If you want to keep your kids away from drugs, get them interested in photography. Then they'll never have money left for drugs!" 🤣

Update: On the way back up we saw an amazing sight— climbers rappelling down the face of Empress Falls!


canyonwalker: Sullivan, a male golden eagle at UC Davis Raptor Center (Golden Eagle)
Australia Travelog #25
About to leave the hotel - Fri, 29 Dec 2023, 8am

I was stiff last night when we got back to the hotel after dinner. With two descents into the canyon followed by two climbs back out, along with all the miles I walked, my legs are sore and one of my ankles aches. I feel a twinge of pain when I walk, particularly when I flex it with pressure as when I'm ascending or descending stairs or a ramp. I think I may have slightly pulled a muscle.

"Maybe I shouldn't hike today," I thought this morning.

"Hahahahaha," I answered myself. "No."

This isn't going to stop me from hiking today. I have spent too much money and, more importantly, too much of my limited free time, getting here. I'm not going to let it stop me. It's only going to slow me down— and even then, I'm determined to minimize how much it does that. I am dosing myself with ibuprofen and acetaminophen and I will play through the pain.

Update: "Are you sure you want to keep going?" Hawk asked during our first hike today, before we'd even reached the main waterfalls. "In for a penny, in for a pound," I answered. Later she suggested again that we could turn back. I thought of an even better aphorism to describe my determination. "There is no back," I thundered. "Only forward."

canyonwalker: Roll to hit! (d&d)
My D&D game was on a hiatus for a few weeks due to travel around Thanksgiving week. We played again last night, Friday night. It was session 4 of my adventure, City of the Dead.

Friday's session reminded me of a funny but totally true observation about roleplaying games, about how the GM and the players influence the story:

”In a role-playing game the GM determines that the story is a caper, while the players determine whether the theme music is Mission Impossible, The Pink Panther, or Yakety Sax.“

In that vein call this week's session City of the Dead: Fool Around and Find Out Edition.

Title Card for my "City of the Dead" D&D Game (Oct 2023)

Picking up from the previous session, which the players wrapped up by killing a flock of evil, bloodthirsty zombie sheep, the group gave chase to its two mounts who'd panicked at the ravenous bleating and bolted. One PC's riding horse ironically bolted past her into the cemetery; a pack mule bolted down the old trade road... toward the haunted City of the Dead. 😱

The group split up. Because, why not? When D&D groups split up bad stuff only happens to them, like, 98% of the time. 😂

The group split 4-1. The fastest PC swung atop his horse and spurred it into a full gallop to chase the mule. He knew his mount could outrun it, even carrying him on its back. He'd trained the horse himself. The only questions were whether he'd catch the mule fast enough, before it could get into trouble, and whether it would run straight down the road or might veer off somewhere.

The Group in the Graveyard

Meanwhile the rest of the group formed up a squad and entered the cemetery. They found the runaway riding horse lying on the ground, dead, with a pair of bükken tearing off chunks of its flesh.

"Bükken", a burrowing undead monster I created (though the art is not mine)

What are bükken? They're an undead monster I made up for my game world. They're similar to ghouls with adaptation for burrowing. They were once human but now have dried, gaunt flesh falling off exposed bones. They can burrow through dirt like fish can swim. And they're blind (no eyes) but have tremorsense that lets them determine with pinpoint accuracy anything nearby that's touching the ground and moving. Oh, and like ghouls they carry a supernatural disease that sickens victims of scratching claws. Those infected with Grave Rot waste away over a matter of days until they die... and become bükken, too!

For the posse of four PCs this encounter was no challenge. Pretty much any one of them could have destroyed these lower level monsters in their own idiom. The one fastest on the button was the cleric of the goddess of death. ...The goddess who opposes undead. He thrust forward his holy symbol and intoned. "The power of the Lady of the Grave compels you, BEGONE!" And *pffffft* the undead monsters disintegrated into dust.

Herran Gets In over his Head

Herran, the group's scout, who'd gone off on his own to chase the mule, got into deeper trouble on his own. He followed the mule's tracks to the haunted city of Graymount. The literal City of the Dead. The city that has been mysteriously cursed for over 100 years, where most who go there die and anyone and anything that remains is corrupted by evil. Yup, the scout went right into that city. 😳

Herran found the mule soon enough. There was a sinkhole in the main road through town, and the mule had fallen into it. The sinkhole was about 20' deep.

As Herran rode up to the sinkhole, the edge crumbled away beneath his horse. His horse fell into the pit, though he was able to leap to safety as the horse fell. Now there were two injured animals at the bottom of a 20' deep cavern under the road. 😰

If Herran had any sense he would have reasoned that The City of the Dead is way too dangerous to be in, alone— more powerful people have died here, alone, like literally the person they're searching for— and that there was nothing he could realistically do to get his horse out of a sinkhole by himself. But he decided to secure a rope to one of the abandoned buildings lining the road and climb down into the collapsed cave.

I created a swarm of crows in D&D (adapted image)

As Herran entered one of the builds to secure his rope to something, an unexpected monster swung into action. In D&D there's a creature type called a swarm. It's made up a large number of very small creatures but it acts as a single in combat— with some characteristics that make it very hard for low- and even mid-level characters to defeat. The rule books give examples like a swarm of bats. I made up stats for a swarm of crows.

The crows were all quietly perched on the roof edges of buildings lining both sides of the street, sitting there ominously all Alfred Hitchcock-like, until the scout entered a building. Then with an cacophony of squawking and flapping of wings they descended to harry Herran.

Herran didn't really have any attack move that could affect the swarm. That's part of the unique thing about how swarms work in D&D. Meanwhile, they could harm him. Yes, by pecking at him. And also making him nauseated. All he could really do was withdraw.

Herran backed off. The birds settled back onto their roof perches. He tried approaching the sinkhole again. This time the birds stayed perched.

As he approached the hole this second time he saw something new. Three bükken had emerged from the ground and were attacking the two animals!

“It's a Trap!†Admiral Ackbar in Return of the Jedi

Now, any normal person at this point would realize the situation in the sinkhole screams "TRAP!" But Herran was really attached to his horse. He swiftly lowered himself down the rope, Army Airborne style (climb is one of his skills), to fight for his prized steed.

Down in the hole, Herran quickly found himself in over his head... literally and figuratively. As the first three bükken killed horse and mule, a fourth emerged from the ground to attack Herran. Soon all four were attacking him. He was skilled in fighting undead (Ranger class ability Favored Enemy) but fighting 4 of them, solo, was a tall order. I was kind of nice to him and left it at 4 rather than having 2 more emerge from the ground. He barely managed to defeat the four.

I was nice to him again as he climbed out of the pit, finally having the sense to flee town and find his companions, by not having the swarm of crows attack. I'd decided anyway that the crows had particular rules for what would trigger a swarm attack, and neither emerging from a hole in the ground nor fleeing the area were not one of those things.

Herran made it back to the cemetery, grievously wounded, just as his companions exited from their adventure. It had been a bad day for horses as Meraxes's horse had died, too— also killed by bükken. It had taken the foursome split of the party just as long for their side trip as Herran's, even though they had traveled far less, as Meraxes, the nobly born mage (who attended an elite magic school in a foreign country), cried a lot over her dead horse.

To be continued....

Update: the group decides to head toward danger, entering the City of the Dead, this time together.



canyonwalker: Mr. Moneybags enjoys his wealth (money)
Last week I wrote about the "Money Doesn't Buy Happiness" canard. I called it a canard because while it's literally true in the strictest sense— happiness is not a good that can be bought and sold— its widely understood meaning is grossly misleading to the point of being functionally false. Money may not literally buy happiness but, in a mature capitalist system such as ours, it's necessary for the basics of life. As I explained, try being happy without adequate food, shelter, clothes, or health care!

Or, to put it another way, one of the rejoinders I like to "Money Doesn't Buy Happiness" is "Money Doesn't Buy Happiness, but Poverty Doesn't Buy a Damn Thing!"

As canards go, "Money doesn't buy happiness" is a pretty big one. Basically much everyone (everyone who's fluent in conversational English, anyway) has heard it. Generally for a saying to become that widely known, and to endure for so many years, there has to be some sense, some particular context, in which it's true... or at least kind of true. It's got to have a kernel of truth somewhere inside, surrounded by qualifiers and clarifications that indicate that correct context— except nobody bothers with those because, let's face it, if it's too long for a bumper sticker, TLDR.

Here's how I'd rewrite the saying to make explicit the generally unwritten assumptions and qualifiers that make it true:

More Money, past a certain point of basics being covered, Doesn't necessarily Buy Increase Happiness*

*because once you've got the basics covered then things like purpose in life, self determination, and connections to other people start to become at least as important as increased material wealth


Read the fine print of what I wrote (yeah, that's quite a bumper sticker!) and what you'll see is that the proper use of "Money Doesn't Buy Happiness" is as advice to people who are already wealthy. Indeed, that's the substance of many of the advice articles and self-help books about why people shouldn't worry about wealth. They're full of anecdotes about envy, lifestyle inflation, etc. How once you can afford a vacation home, a boat, or a yacht you're not necessarily happy because there's always someone with a bigger vacation home, a bigger boat, a bigger yacht... or two yachts!

Well, you know what? That's great advice for people who can afford vacation homes and yachts. It's advice for the 1%. There's not enough money in targeting books and articles at just 1% of the country, though. Thus we get them pointed at the broad middle the the US, the middle and working classes.

Along with that shift in the target market comes a shift in how the advice is framed. Instead of being a self-help tip to avoid overindulgence it becomes a ridiculous sour-grapes canard. "Oh, poor people and those struggling to get by, you don't really want wealth. Rich people are miserable, too!"

canyonwalker: wiseguy (Default)
Recently in my newsfeed I saw yet-another "Money Doesn't Buy Happiness" article. This one is based on an interview with Barbara Corcoran, star of the TV show Shark Tank. Example coverage: CNBC article 14 Jun 2023. These stories bother me because they're almost invariably written by or about people who are a) wealthy today and b) have never really been poor.

What's my stake in it? I grew up poor. Mind you, not poor-poor, but not higher than lower-middle class. We had food on the table but couldn't afford doctor visits except in emergencies, and I regularly wore shoes with holes in them. Although I'm doing much better, financially, in life as an adult after completing an advanced degree and building a well-paying career, I don't forget where I came from. I draw on that life experience to understand the challenges that people currently in poverty face. And it pisses me off when yet-another 1%er trots out that canard that poor people should be happier because "Money doesn't but happiness".

I call it a canard because while the statement "Money can't buy happiness" is literally true, the implied meaning, the meaning that almost everyone understands, is false. Money is actually pretty important to happiness in the 21st century US.

Consider these three basic determinants of whether a person can life a happy, satisfying life:

Money is critical to having a place to live— and not just having a roof over your head from night to night, but having certainty about your living arrangements. Couch surfing, where you depend on the generosity of friends week to week or month to month, creates a lot of stress.

Money is critical to having adequate food— and again, as with housing, it's also about food security. Not knowing if you're going to have money to buy food next week, or having to choose between buying food and being late with the rent check or utilities bills again, is hard.

Money is critical to adequate health care. Yes, you can show up at a hospital emergency room and technically they have to help you, but there's a huuuge gap between getting only minimal, life-saving emergency care and getting proper health care. You might not see that difference if you're young and healthy... but wait until you're older, or think about it again when you have a chronic health condition you can't afford to address.

It's pretty darn hard to be happy (in any non-self-deluded fashion) when you don't have certainty around housing, food, and health. And the reality for genuinely poor people in the US is they don't.

canyonwalker: Poster style icon for Band of Brothers (band of brothers)
I mentioned in my previous blog about Band of Brothers that Ep. 6, "Bastogne", told the story of the Battle of the Bulge from a different perspective. That difference is captured in a bit of text shown on screen over the closing scene:

On December 26, Patton's 3rd Army broke through German lines, allowing supplies and evacuations to flow. The story of the Battle of the Bulge is of Patton's army coming to the rescue of the encircled 101st Airborne. No member of the 101st has ever agreed that the division needed rescue.

The 101st was given a really tough job. They had to hold a position, as infantry, against enemy artillery bombardment. Oh, and they were woefully under-supplied. But they undertook the mission with confidence that their superior training, skills, and confidence in their fellow soldiers (i.e., their band of brothers) would see them through.

There's an apocryphal quote from the same campaign that became a calling card for the 82nd Airborne, a counterpart similar to the 101st Airborne at the time, showing the men's courage:

An apocryphal quote from the 82nd Airborne about the Battle of the Bulge (Dec 1944)

Why it's Called Battle of the Bulge

You can pick up from dialogue in the episode a bit about why the battle for Bastogne became known as the "Battle of the Bulge" in history books. To understand more it helps to study a bit of history beyond just what's in the miniseries.

The Allies took Bastogne and the areas around it. Then German forces managed to surround them, cutting them off from overland support. Ally field command was centered in the town. Various units like Easy Company deployed in the forest around the city, establishing a perimeter. Germans units attacked that perimeter at numerous places. Many of the Allied units fell back or were overrun. The perimeter of Allied control shrank... except for places where units in the field held their ground. There the perimeter line seemed to bulge outward. Easy Company of the 101st was one of those units that held its position. They were the "bulge" in the line.

"Nuts"

The Germans felt they were winning the battle of Bastogne. They were shrinking the allies' perimeter in towards the town center, inflicting heavy casualties, and they knew the Allies were under-supplied. The German commander sent a supercilious request for their surrender on Christmas Day, 1944. General McAuliffe (US Army) sent a stern reply. The miniseries incorporates this little gem of history:



The surrender offer and McAuliffe's one-word reply are documented history. Here it's related by Col. Sink when he visits Easy Company in the field on Christmas Day.

Great stuff.


canyonwalker: Winter is Coming (Game of Thrones) (game of thrones)
Tyrion Lannister, portrayed so well by actor Peter Dinklage, has a bigger part in the story in season 6 of Game of Thrones than anytime since season 2— when he rocked. Part of the fun with seeing Tyrion is that he's witty— and not evil. Tyrion delivers some great lines in S6E2, "Home".

Tyrion Lannister from Game of Thrones

Minor spoilers on the context of this great quip & two others. )
canyonwalker: WTF? (wtf?)
"King Charles: 'I'm a self-made millionaire'" was the title of an article I saw today on CNN.com (published 16 Sep 2022). Riiiiight. A man born into billions, the heir to the British throne since age 6, is "a self-made millionaire".

The king's obtuse boast, which dates back to 2004 when he was merely Prince Charles, is sadly not limited to those born into royal families worth tens of billions of dollars. The myth of self-made success is common to all sorts of people who grew up unaware of their privilege.

Perhaps you've seen the quip, "Born on third base and thinks he hit a triple." It's comforting to assure yourself that everything you enjoy in life, everything you achieved, is not because it was given to you but because you earned it.

Baseball metaphors aside, what forms does this privilege take? Here's a great meme I saw elsenet years ago. The original seems to have been taken down but I do have a text copy:

Behind every "self made" millionaire is generational wealth, family investments, nepotism pulling strings, secret capital exchanging hands behind closed doors, someone moving you to the top of a pile, deals made at country clubs, and elite education, and/or some type of access.

Is this literally true? No, because not every millionaire is a result of extreme privilege. Some of us get there from modest roots through intelligence and hard work. Also, being a millionaire isn't the exclusive status it was years ago. Nowadays many educated professionals in lucrative fields (law, medicine, science, engineering) who manage their money wisely can expect to reach millionaire level after a few decades of work. But replace "millionaire" with, say, $20-millionaire ($20M being size of portfolio needed to provide an independently wealthy life of ease today) and "every" with almost every, and it's true.

BTW, in the article it's explained how King Charles considered himself a self-made success because a company he started had earned him millions. Look to every single thing in the quote above, though, to understand the help he enjoyed getting there. Oh, and when his company failed 5 years later and he was facing millions of dollars of losses... a major retail chain made a sweetheart deal to rescue him. Normal folks don't have angels pick us up when we fall.


canyonwalker: Planes, Trains, and Automobiles. Travel! (planes trains and automobiles)
Ever since we made an enjoyable trip to Spokane and the Inland Northwest several weeks ago we've been planning to return. "Another 72 Hours" I proudly called the plan I started hatching at 35,000' on the flight home from the first trip. But 10 days later we had to cancel that plan. So we planned it again... then had to cancel it again!

Along the way I cited Douglas MacArthur's famous line, "I shall return." Well, it's time for an update:


I Shall Return... Eventually

Of course, even General MacArthur didn't return to the Philippines as fast as he wanted. It took awhile before the troops, resources, and strategy were set.

For us, our third attempt to plan this trip was foiled by rental cars being unavailable. Yesterday we looked at alternate dates and determined we could make it all work— flights, hotels, car, and time off from work— at the end of the month. So, if nothing else goes wrong between now and then, the fourth time will be a charm!


canyonwalker: coronavirus (coronavirus)
It's been a while since I posted to my "Lockdown Day XXX" series. It's been so long that the lockdown is now over! 😳

When people in the future ask, "When did the pandemic end?" it'll be hard to provide a precise answer. Such things tend to end "Not with a bang but a whimper," as T.S. Eliot wrote in 1925. Even the lockdown is that way. It's been lifted gradually and in piecemeal fashion, with different countries, states, and cities having different policies, and those policies driven (sadly) as much by politics as evidence or science. But at least for California there's a day to mark as the end of the lockdown that's as good as any: June 15. That's when the state lifted its restrictions, more or less.

That was Lockdown Day 456.

Today is Lockdown Day 471— or would be, if the lockdown were still going. But here's the worrisome thing: The lockdown may return.

Why We Only Hope This is the End 😳

Vaccine hesitancy is a problem in the US. Although the vaccine has been freely available in plentiful supply for months, less than half the total US population is fully vaccinated today. Most of the remainder are vaccine objectors, people who've been fooled by politically motivated deniers into thinking the vaccine is ineffective, unnecessary, or even dangerous; or that Coronavirus isn't even real.

This significant population of unvaccinated people creates a huge safe harbor for Coronavirus to live and grow in. We're not going to be able to eradicate Covid-19 the same way we developed countries did in the 20th century with diseases such as polio, smallpox, and measles, when we reached 95%+ vaccination. That means there will continue to be Covid infections and outbreaks— plus also more places for worse variants, such as the Delta and now Gamma strains, to develop. Already some places in the world that lifted lockdown measures because they thought Coronavirus was licked are seeing it boomerang and having to go back into lockdown.
canyonwalker: Planes, Trains, and Automobiles. Travel! (planes trains and automobiles)
Canceling our trip to Spokane this weekend doesn't mean we won't go. It just means we didn't go this weekend. Trips that get taken off the books don't disappear; they're put back on the list of places to go next time. "I SHALL RETURN."

"I came out of Bataan... and I shall return." Gen. Douglas MacArthur, 20 March 1942

General Douglas MacArthur famously said those words in March 1942, after having been chased out of the Philippines by the invading Japanese army. "I came out of Bataan, and I shall return." The refrain became a rallying cry for Filipino people enduring occupation and inspired Americans on the homefront.

I'm not waging a war here but I have already planned my return to Spokane. I booked all the reservations this afternoon. ...Yes, barely 24 hours after returning from the trip we took instead of returning to Spokane!

We'll return to Spokane over the July 4th weekend. We're taking an extra day off to make it a 4-day weekend. With that extra day we'll add in another day of hiking... and it'll be at a mountain that was too snowy to get to anyway this past weekend. Extra day, extra hike; our re-planned return will be better than our originally planned return!

And while the July 4th weekend is barely over a month away, this isn't even our next trip. It's our next-next trip! In mid June we're traveling to the east coast for the wedding of two friends in New York and a week of outdoors stuff in Maine. This, too, is a trip that engendered MacArthur like stalwartness. I planned and canceled it several times last year due to Coronavirus. Eventually the grooms and I got so tired of remaking and canceling plans that I got ordained as a minister and married them myself. But the groom's family wants a big, traditional, religious ceremony and reception. That's what's in New York in two weeks.

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